OUTRUN THE STORM benefited from the strong pace in a decent Ayr nursery last time over six furlongs, his stamina helping him get up late in the day. He looks sure to appreciate the step up to seven furlongs here and I’d be quite hopeful that he will handle the ground. He is after going up 7lbs for that win but is still very much unexposed and gets plenty of weight of a couple of his rivals here. His trainer Richard Fahey has great record in this nursery, with five winners and two seconds in the last nine years and he has every chance of enhancing that record here.
Rhythmic Intent has been in great form this season and will go on the ground which is a major plus but BRENTFORD HOPE goes handicapping now off a mark of 91 and perhaps he can build on the immense promise he showed when bolting up on his debut at Newmarket last year. That was on soft ground and this will be his first run on easy ground since. The form of that maiden win looks really solid now, with the 3rd Arthurian Fable rated 97, 5th Damage Control is rated 85, 6th Quickthorn is rated 84, 8th Herman Hesse rated in the 80’s & 9th Bondi Sands is rated 80.
Brentford Hope beat these doing handstands and was being touted as a dark horse for the Derby but this season hasn’t got to plan. Off until July, he was disappointing at York when 5th and was slightly better when 3rd at Kempton behind the 94-rated My Frankel and 83-rated Dubai Welcome who was receiving 7lbs. Brentford Hope has been off since and has been gelded and goes handicapping off a mark of 91, which could be very workable if the return to easy ground is as much of a positive as I believe it may be.
This doesn’t look the strongest maiden in the world and I think there is every chance that DARK MOTIVE can build on the promise she showed when going down narrowly at Newbury on her debut. She was conceding experience to the two that finished in front of her that day and I think the lack of experience cost her, as she took a while to get going when asked to quicken. Ralph Beckett has his string in great form at the moment and Dark Motive can get the better of Ivynator here to get off the mark.
The booking of Cieran Fallon catches the eye here, as he has had 2 winners and 3 seconds from 17 rides for trainer John Gallagher. FOXY FEMME should have no issue on the testing ground, as she was 4th last year at Newbury on heavy ground over seven furlongs off a mark of 71 and was a winner at Leicester last season over this trip off a mark of 61. She also hit the frame in a maiden on her only other visit to Leicester, so the track obviously suits. She has not shown much in his 3 runs this season but the handicapper has dropped her to a mark of 61 which is the mark she last won from. I think we will get a decent price due to her poor recent form and she looks worth a small each-way investment.
CEDAR CAGE won on his only previous start on the fibresand at Southwell and has shown promise on both of his starts in handicaps this season. His 3rd at Kempton behind To Nathaniel and Damage Control is very solid form in the context of this race and he was then 4th at Haydock behind Favourite Moon and Subjectivist who are now 15lbs and 12lbs higher in the handicap now. Cedar Cage remains on a mark of 80 and that is definitely a mark he can win from and this is a big drop in grade that he may be able to exploit.
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Frank Hickey’s bet summary – Tuesday, October 6
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