Anyone that read my runner by runner guide to the Arc will know that I am quite keen on both In Swoop (Mogul now a non-runner) to cause a small shock in today’s showpiece.
Aside from the Arc, there are six other Group 1 contests and here are three to see if we can bag a winner across Longchamp’s high-quality card.
Trainer Nicolas Clement had a torrid time of in in 2019 but has really put that season behind him and has produced some fine young stock this season, most notably classy filly King’s Harlequin. The daughter of Camelot added a Group 3 success to her already impressive resume when winning over this course and distance early last month.
She showed great professionalism that day and took the field along at a very solid tempo. Although this race presents her toughest challenge to date, King’s Harlequin is one of the most experienced runners in the field and may be difficult to peg back if getting to the lead from stall six.
The ground may be an unknown factor for her, but a quick look at her breeding would suggest that she will at least handle it to some degree. Her new partner Christophe Soumillon is one of the best riders in terms of tactics when it comes to testing conditions and I would be hugely surprised if Clement’s filly doesn’t trouble the judge today.
Trainer Jean-Claude Rouget has never hidden how highly he regards this filly and has deliberately kept Tawkeel fresh for this weekend. The daughter of Teofilo is now five for five and was most impressive when taking the Group 1 Prix Saint Alary on her penultimate start.
She showed a particular liking for soft ground on her most recent start and shouldn’t have too much difficulty with conditions today. Tawkeel comes into this contest having had a much lighter campaign than market leader Alpine Star and has a very favorable draw in stall nine.
If jockey Cristian Demuro can get her settled in mid-division, I can see her coming with a strong run and may turn over her rivals.
Francis-Henri Graffard’s charge has broken my heart this summer, with a mix of bad luck-in-running and firm ground hindering him from taking a win at the highest level.
I’m willing to reinvest my chips now in the hope that the heavy ground will make all the difference.
Wooded is a huge horse and his trainer has always held him to be Group 1 class and could finally deliver today on what could be a huge day for the trainer and jockey Pierre-Charles Boudot.
He has had a tendency to travel with a lot of gas in his races and if Wooded can get out sharply from stall two over this minimum 5f trip on this heavy ground, I can see him building up a lead at the head of the field and just being strong enough to hold off the late challengers.
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