So finally it’s here, the Group 1 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is upon us in Paris and you can see it live on the main ITV network.
There may be no Love, but Enable goes for her third Arc success. No horse has ever won three.
The terrestrial broadcaster shows four races in total, although the Arabian Bred race I will give a miss to, so let’s see if we can find a few winners.
Coverage starts with the Group 1 Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere for juveniles over 7f. NANDO PARRADO came up against a monster in Campanelle at Deauville last time but in finishing second proved his 150-1 success in the Coventry Stakes was no fluke at Royal Ascot.
My hope represents Clive Cox and Adam Kirby and is run last time suggested a step up to 7f would be far from a problem. Has a great chance here.
Next it’s the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac for two-year-old fillies over 1m. Hard to get away from PRETTY GORGEOUS here after her fine second in the Group 1 Moyglare over 7f last time.
Joseph O’Brien’s filly started off over a mile so they have always felt stamina is her strong point and she’s proven on soft ground and at this level.
And finally the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe with Group 1 status over 1m4f. I went to social media last Monday and tipped up IN SWOOP at 20-1 and I have no reason to change my mind now after the departure of Love. The simple truth is the ground is going to be desperate, and so form will be thrown out the window for many of the contenders. That’s not to say In Swoop has no form.
In Swoop has only had four races, but on this third start was a tasty victor in the Group 1 Deutsches Derby. He loves soft ground, so the muddier the better for him.
After that Hamburg win In Swoop had two months off the track before chasing home the re-opposing Mogul in the Grand Prix de Paris. He got going too late that day but the ground was good.
In Swoop will have to do much better than that to win an Arc, but in extreme conditions you get shocks, and the son of Adlerflug is clearly talented enough to be right in the mix. He might also still be improving.
It’s a huge chance for jockey Ronan Thomas who few will have ever heard of. Good luck Ronan!
So best of luck and pray for Yeeehaaas. You hear me Paddy?
Matt Chapman’s tips for Longchamp on Sunday
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