Judging by the sheer amount of rainfall we have had on the gallops in Chantilly this week I can only imagine that conditions at ParisLongchamp are going to be horrendous and there may be some shock results.
But, as ever, I will do my best to try and get everyone on the scoresheet over the biggest weekend in French racing.
I think my each-way selection is tremendous value on Saturday’s card and I will certainly be having some €s on myself.
The Revenant has not seen on a racecourse since producing a fine effort when finishing second at Ascot Champions Day in 2019, but the long absence should not be a cause for concern.
The Revenant has proved that he is best fresh and his trainer Francis-Henri Graffard may well have been keeping his powder dry until the second part of the season.
A true mud lover, The Revenant was extremely impressive when landing this event last season and has the aid of Pierre-Charles Boudot once again here.
I don’t think the absence will trouble him and his trainer is renowned for being a patient operator. I am sure that providing that The Revenant has a clear passage throughout the race then the five-year-old should take this event before going on to attempt a well deserved success at Group One level.
Although I have previously been disappointed by Ocean Atlantique (when putting him up as a NAP for the French Derby) I am inclined to forgive him and can allow him another chance for a number of reasons.
That day in Chantilly the ground was rattling fast and he is a big heavy built horse who will undoubtedly appreciate the change of surface this weekend.
Both Pierre-Charles Boudot and Andre Fabre were adamant that he was a proper horse before that race and he really did travel like one, until getting caught for toe over a furlong further than todays trip.
I think Ocean Atlantique will take a lot of beating here in what is a much less competitive field and after a few months of a break to freshen him up.
The biggest danger could be last year’s winner Skalleti who has been in cracking form all season but this really should boil down to a battle between those two.
Rising young trainer Edouard Monfort has really put his name on the map this season with good-quality winners across France.
But the western-based trainer could seal the biggest winner of his flourishing career were improving Eudimonia to get her head in front in the big fillies handicap on Saturday.
Unbeaten in two starts since joining Monfort, Eudaimonia has been in fantastic form and has previously shown an aptitude for heavy ground when bolting up at Maisons-Laffite for her now retired ex-trainer John Hammond.
Sneaking in at the bottom of the weights, this straightforward filly could have further improvement in her and she showed a liking for this course and distance when successful three weeks ago.
Jockey Mickael Barzalona should do the basement weight easily and has been in unstoppable form of late. He gets the call up on Eudaimonia for the first time and the partnership could make a successful start here.
Jason’s tips for ParisLongchamp on Saturday
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