This is a big sprint handicap and there’s plenty to consider, but Production really caught my eye last time at Pontefract, travelling really well but caught some trouble about a furlong from home and was badly held up.
Once he got going again he really picked up and took third on the line with plenty of running left. It was ridden by an unexperienced claimer on that day but Hollie Doyle takes over today and this one looks to be coming to the boil nicely.
Make It Rain comes out 4lbs clear on Timeform’s adjusted ratings. She was a non-runner at Newmarket on Friday but she looks very interesting on the back of a commanding success at Wolverhampton last time.
The handicapper has raised her 6lbs in the weight since that win which looks fair. The only slight concern is that she’s yet to win on turf, but perhaps it’s too early to pigeonhole her as an out-and-out all-weather performer and she makes plenty of appeal off a mark of 86.
I like The Gill Brothers and I’ve been waiting for him to reappear on the all-weather for a while. He was a big-price winner over this course earlier in the year and he followed up at Chelmsford on his next start with the minimum of fuss.
He shaped better than the result on both occasions in handicaps at Chelmsford. He’s got the likes of Golden Force, Variyann and Artistic Rifles in here with him who will all be vying for the lead which will suit.
The Gill Brothers has a good draw in six, he’s back to a venue where he’s showed good form, the longer straight at Kempton helps him get organised, and Sean Levey, who has been on board for both his wins, is back on the saddle today. I’m expecting a big run from The Gill Brothers back at Kempton.
Emirates Knight comes out on top in our weight-adjusted ratings here and that’s the horse I’m going to side with. He’s another that goes especially well at Kempton, all of his best form has come there, really.
His last win came off this course and distance, albeit it 6lb lower, but he’s done well from similar marks. I think we can put a line through his last run at Ascot last time, he was weak enough in the market last time.
I think it was just an off day for Emirates Knight and it’s worth noting that was a much more competitive handicap than what he’s contesting today. In general he’s a consistent performer and I’m going to give him the chance to bounce back at his favourite venue.
Andrew Asquith’s tips at Nottingham and Kempton on Wednesday
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