LAST SUNSET goes handicapping here and an opening mark of 84 looks quite appealing based on her three runs to date.
An easy winner on debut at Kempton, she beat the now 84-rated Bassilicata by over two lengths and then was second twice to two very nice horses.
First was to Lucid Dreamer, to whom she was conceding a penalty, and Lucid Dreamer has won her next start, is now rated 90 and looks likely to contest graded races before the season is out.
On her last start Last Sunset was conceding a penalty to Love Is You, who was a well-bred newcomer, and only went down by a neck while the 3rd Monsoon Moon bolted up on her next start when heavily punted.
I think connections wouldn’t have been too frustrated had Last Sunset been allotted an opening mark of 90 or so, and in my opinion she has the potential to rate 100 or higher. I’ll be disappointed if she can’t win off 84.
- Horse Racing tips: William Haggas profiles his Newmarket hopes this week
- William Haggas fires warning to Tom Marquand in pursuit of Flat Jockeys Championship
ECOEYE was a comprehensive winner at Roscommon last time out over seven furlongs, bouncing out in front and never seeing another rival, coming home over three lengths clear.
That form looks solid, as the 3rd was placed on his next start, the 4th and 5th both won next time out. Ecoeye has gone up 6lbs for that but that may be lenient considering how convincing a winner he was and how well that race is working out.
Another positive is that he is drawn low and he should be able to bounce out and get the lead here and that is a massive advantage around Listowel.
He also has really solid course form, as he has placed at this festival the past four years off marks of 61, 69, 68 & 69. Not too many of his rivals are in form and he might be able to lead them all a merry dance here.
A nice novices chase where Saglawy is interesting on his first start for Paul Nicholls after leaving Willie Mullins but the ground might not be testing enough for him and REDFORD ROAD makes a little more appeal.
A bumper winner only a year ago to the day, he was a Grade 2 winner at Cheltenham over hurdles over three miles and was outclassed in the Albert Bartlett at the festival itself.
His trainer Nigel Twiston Davies has won this seven times in the last ten years and with some really nice horses like Wholestone, Ballyandy, Flying Angel & Double Ross. Redford Road is likely to be well forward for this.
LA BARROSA is the least experienced in the field but those with experience don’t appear to be progressing and La Barrosa might well improve past them.
A 750,000 Guineas yearling, he made a very striking debut at Ascot by beating the well bred newcomer Derab nicely. Only three horses from that race have run since but the 3rd won next time out and the 11th won a Newbury maiden on his next start.
The clock backed up the visual impression and if he steps forward for that run at all he might improve past the likes of Yazaman and Qaader.
PERSIA was strong in the market on his reappearance at Leopardstown on Champions Weekend but was never in a good position and was only staying on to be a never nearer 9th beaten just over three lengths.
His form last year was very solid, finishing 2nd in a Group 3 at Leopardstown and beating subsequent Group 3 winner Comrorant in a conditions event at Chelmsford.
His Leopardstown run last time was off a mark of 100 and that would look a mark that is very workable. The handicapper has left his mark unchanged and with testing ground suiting him, he looks likely to take a big step forward now and should go well at a fair price.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget
Frank Hickey’s bet summary – Thursday, September 24
- Sprint over to all the top tips and racing previews now
- Horse Racing: How to watch racing for free with Paddy Power
- Placing bets is easier than ever with Paddy Power News’ live odds banners