Frank Hickey and Paddy Power have revealed their top bets ahead of this weekend’s action, with both picking runners at Ayr as their safest selections.
Speaking on the latest episode of our now twice-weekly From The Horse’s Mouth podcast, the pair have tipped a couple of contrasting shouts who could offer decent returns for lucky punters.
I’m desperate to get a best bet to actually win, but I’m going to get my misery out of the way early and go with ADDEYB. I’d back it as quickly as you can because it’s going to go off a lot shorter than the 6/4 it is now on Friday morning.
I started off looking at this race and thinking ‘it’s a bit early in the day to be getting stuck into a 6/4 shot’ so I was looking at Euchen Glen, Fox Chairman and Lord Glitters to try and get Addeyb beat but you just come back to him.
The last two times he got beaten over this trip was by Lord North at Ascot and then by Magical before that so you’re going ‘that’s slightly better than this Listed race here’.
He could actually be at a really good price and Addeyb running at 85/90 per cent should be good enough.
I agree with Paddy that if you want a winner, Addeyb will probably do it, but I’m going to go for the big one and pick WISE COUNSEL in the Ayr Gold Cup.
This is an interesting race, with Mr Lupton well-backed last weekend at The Curragh when winning that handicap on the Sunday. He gets a 5lb penalty but they’re putting Billy Garritty up, which takes 5lb off, so technically he’s running off the same mark. He deserves to be top of the market.
Nahaar was obviously disappointing at Goodwood but that track doesn’t suit every horse so if you go back to Newbury the time before, he was very impressive,
But the one I like is Wise Counsel for Clive Cox. If you go back a couple of years Cox won the Silver Cup with Snazzy Jazzy, and Wise Counsel is interesting. He hasn’t had many runs, and is actually half-brother to the Group 1-placed Noozhoh Canarias, who was a Spanish runner in the 2,000 Guineas when Night Of Thunder won – he finished sixth in that.
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Wise Counsel was a useful juvenile and on his third ever start he was third in a novice race at Haydock over six furlongs. He was only beaten by a length and in front of him that day was San Donato and Hello Youmzain. Hello Youmzain has obviously turned into a multiple Group 1-winning sprinter and San Donato is high class as well.
He broke his maiden very easily on his next start at Haydock, beating none other than Angel Alexander who won this race last year. It would be quite some story if we had two horses from the same maiden going on to win back-to-back Ayr Gold Cups.
He had four starts last season, winning twice – at Sandown off 87 and interestingly enough at Ayr over seven furlongs off a mark of 91. He’s only had the two starts this year, in June reappearing at Goodwood in a Listed race and was third, beaten by a length-and-a-half. He didn’t get the clearest of runs that day and was slow away. He was off again until two weeks ago when in midfield at Ascot over seven furlongs. That screamed to me of a prep run for this race, and at a mark of 98 it isn’t beyond him at all.
He’s drawn in 18 with pace around him so I think he could go well at each-way.
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Frank and Paddy’s best bets summary – Saturday, September 19
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