Listen to Frank deliver his verdict on this weekend’s racing in the UK, Ireland and France this weekend on our new From the Horse’s Mouth podcast Friday tipping show below.
A competitive renewal of the Lavazza Stakes with a field full of nice types who are capable of rating higher than they currently are but I am going to side with KIPPS who has been running well without winning so far this season. 2nd on his reappearance, which was also his debut in handicaps off a mark of 83, he was just caught on the line that day at Haydock and got to run at Royal Ascot off the same mark of 83. That was in a really strong renewal of the King George V Stakes and it has worked out really nicely.
Kipps was 2nd beaten half a length by Hukum who was running off 90 but has won a Group 3 since and is now rated 114, while also near the head of the market for next week’s St Leger. Third that day was Subjectivist, who was running off 94 and he too has won a Group 3 since and is now rated 109, while also prominent in the antepost market for the Leger. There were other subsequent winners like Win O Clock, Arthurian Fable and To Nathaniel in behind and Kipps went up 8lbs for that run. He was 4th in a decent Newmarket handicap, caught out in the middle of the track when the near rail was the place to be and was then a creditable 3rd in the Melrose at York. He now finds himself back at his best trip of a mile and a half, off just a 6lb higher mark than the Royal Meeting with the Morrison stable in great form, so a big run is expected with the first time cheekpieces hopefully going to help him get the job done.
Richard Hannon was very positive about how highly he regarded DINGLE prior to his debut at Newmarket and while the horse probably isn’t as good as he thought, I think he makes plenty of appeal now stepping into handicap company. He shaped as if needing the run when 6th on debut at Newmarket and then ran well in 3rd in the Convivial at York, a valuable maiden that normally ends up being pretty strong form. He runs off a mark 82 here and I’d disappointed if he couldn’t rate a fair bit higher than that before the season is out.
This looks like a very tightly matched field for this year’s Sprint Cup, which the likes of Golden Hoarde, Dream Of Dreams, Hello Youmzain, The Tin Man and Lope Y Fernandez all closely matched on certain lines of form. Art Power and Tabdeed bring a different line of form into the race and I can see the reasoning for people liking Art Power but for me, nowhere does track form count as strongly as ay Haydock and for that reason I am going to side with last year’s winner HELLO YOUMZAIN.
That was his third visit to Haydock and on his other two starts, he was beaten a short head by the top class San Donato when conceding a penalty to him and he beat Calyx comprehensively in the Sandy Lane Stakes. Hello Youmzain has already won this year’s Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot and I think the rest need to step up to prevent him making it back to back wins in the Sprint Cup.
COUNT D’ORSAY was quite progressive for Tim Easterby last season, winning three of his six starts and he was second twice also. His only disappointing effort was the one time he encountered fast ground but he was second to this year’s Nunthorpe 3rd Moss Gill at York when only receiving a pound, before winning at Catterick off a mark of 91 to finish the season.
Soft ground is key to him, so he was to his great credit that he ran so well on his reappearance at Newmarket on fast ground off a mark of 96 when 3rd but he has been disappointing since. That has seen his mark drop from 96 at Newmarket to 91 now, the same mark as he won at Catterick when last getting soft ground. The ground has come in his favour and he is a double-figure price which is appealing.
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Frank Hickey’s best bets for Saturday, September 5
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