Last Sunset arguably has the most potential, but her two starts have come on Polytrack and today’s conditions are rather different.
Conversely, rain-softened ground over a stiff 7 furlong should suit COMMONSENSICAL, whose Haydock second has worked out well and who just got done on fast going round Chester last time. Zoffarelli also looks on a workable mark.
They’re racing on the stand-side half of the course again but, unlike yesterday, the stalls are on the near side; a split field is possible rather than probable on this ground.
Winning machine Royal Dynasty’s victories have all come on Polytrack, while Ligera, who suffered a short-priced blowout on the all-weather last month, is also unproven in the mud.
Conversely, HELVEZIA (NAP) is proven over an undulating 7 furlongs on soft ground after her easy Chepstow win and today’s stiffer 7 furlongs should suit.
The Crisford yard is 6-26 with two-year-olds this season and 250,000gns purchase LEGAL ATTACK has a family tradition to uphold as he bids to emulate half-brothers Blaine and Bogart in winning first time out.
Fellow Middle Park entrant Decisive Edge is also interesting and looks the main danger.
It finally dropped right for Summerghand at Goodwood and a repeat can’t be ruled out if the cheekpieces work again. Burmese Waltz, whose progress was halted by a difficult draw at Pontefract, has possibilities. Meanwhile, Jash will be dangerous if able to recapture his two-year-old form.
However, with the recent rain the vote goes to Richard Fahey’s VENTURA REBEL, who was placed in the Commonwealth Cup on his latest sprint outing.
Preference is for ABSTEMIOUS who did well to run into fifth from off the pace at Pontefract last time and has shown his best form on soft ground. Another to consider is Double Or Bubble.
Believe In Love shaped as if in need of a longer trip when winning over 1m 4f at Goodwood and she skipped clear when upped to 1m 6f here two weeks ago.
She’s made huge progress in the course of her hat-trick but the latest rise of 9lb seems a stern reaction and she will never have raced on the ground before now it’s softer than good. She is the key horse, but there are reasons for disquiet.
It’s not plain sailing with the others either but another good run from MONDAIN, who looked in top form 13 days ago, would see him in a leading role and Fox Vardy now looks worth a second go at 1m 6f.
A very interesting race. It’s taken a bit of time to get DOMINO DARLING to the racecourse this year, but she’s potentially smart based on the subsequent exploits of the second and third in the Doncaster maiden she won last backend.
The ground was heavy on that occasion, so the recent rain won’t inconvenience her, and she’s preferred to Zahratty, who shaped encouragingly on her debut last month, and Tanita.
There’s surely a good chance at least one of the three-year-olds in this line-up will step forward again and show themselves ahead of their mark.
AMIR KABIR has improved with each start and gets the nod, but strong market support for returning all-weather novice winners Dublin Pharaoh and Pitcher’s Point would put a slightly different slant on things.
* Prices on our snazzy new bet widget are bang up to date.
- Horse Racing tips: Matt Chapman’s 7 sweet selections for Saturday’s ITV Racing
- Horse Racing tips: Ruby Walsh’s 3 to see at Wexford & Navan on Saturday
- Horse Racing tips: Our 4 punts to score at Navan on Saturday
- Horse Racing tips: An each-way Lucky 15 to set the scene for Saturday’s UK meetings
- Horse Racing tips: Timeform’s 3 wonderful wagers at Windsor and Newmarket on Saturday
- Horse Racing tips: Our traders reveal their nifty NAPs from the weekend’s meeting