Shelir was a listed winner last season for Dermot Weld before going off the boil and joining David O’Meara’s yard which has rejuvenated plenty of horses with a similar profile in the past. He looked in need of the run on stable debut at Newmarket, travelling well into the race before blowing up.
That should put him spot on for this race and as an added bonus Daniel Tudhope has decided to ride him over the shorter priced stablemate Firmament. With Paddy Power paying 6 places, you would be hopeful of getting a good run for your money.
Mogul will be a warm order here though he is yet to back up the hype that seemed to surround him last year, and I think he’s worth taking on with Mohican Heights.
Formerly trained by Fozzy Stack in Ireland, he was purchased by current connections for £520k after his debut in May and switched to the David Simcock yard. He didn’t reappear until August, when an ultra impressive winner of a decent race at Salisbury, a performance that was backed up by the clock.
His breeding is all stamina on his dam’s side, so he should relish this extra trip, and I think he can cause a minor upset and overturn the favourite.
We have our money back special in this race and Lavender’s Blue may be worth chancing to come out on top in a tight race. Highly likely to progress this season having been unraced at 2, she looks to have everything in her favour here provided the forecast showers don’t amount to much.
She ran better than her finishing position in the Sun Chariot on ground that was softer than ideal and the stiff mile here is in her favour given her potential to step up to 10 furlongs as the season progresses.
The best race on Tuesday’s card for me but Lavender’s Blue appeals as the best bet on the card. She was unraced as a two year old but was very impressive when winning over a mile on debut at Newmarket.
She was touched off in a hot looking listed event at Newbury over ten furlongs on her second start but she travelled like the best horse in the race that day and might have been done for experience.
That looks hot form, as the third that day, Star Catcher, won four Group One’s through the rest of the season. Lavender’s Blue found the trip in the Oaks too much for her and after a mid-season break, she returned to the Group 3 Atalanta Stakes at Sandown.
The drop to a mile worked brilliantly, as she travelled like a weapon and was so impressive in picking up to win going away by three lengths without even getting a tap of the whip from Jim Crowley.
She was stepped up to Group 1 level on her final start and didn’t get the clearest of runs when 4th beaten just over three lengths. That was a hot renewal full of Group One winners.
A typical one of Sir Mark Prescott’s that improved when seeping up in trip, winning 6 races last season before disappointing in the Cesarwitch, but bounced back to form in what looked a prep for this race a week ago at Chelmsford.
Land Of Oz’s mark still looks workable and he looks very solid from an e/w view in a race where it could pay to have a prep run given the extended trip.
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