An open maiden claimer over the one-mile trip where Light Fury and Apache meet again following a run here at the backend of March. Light Fury was just ahead in third spot on that occasion before finishing a disappointing eight here last month. Both are stepping up to the one-mile trip tonight and the booking of Luis Saez by trainer Kathleen O’Connell pushes Apache as our selection.
This would be the first time this year that O’Connell has used the services of Saez who recorded a 38% winning strike-rate with the trainer last year (2019). Three Deep is another on the shortlist following two second-place finishes here previously, while the booking of jockey Irad Ortiz Jr on W W Candy puts Scott Becker’s horse right in connection.
Union Lane, La Flamenca and Fiamma Mamma should make a strong pace in this lowly one-mile claimer where a handful of runners are bang in connection. Despite one victory from eleven career starts, Fiamma Mamma has been very consistent for connections here at Gulfstream and it’s hard to see Gustavo Delgado’s horse out of the frame.
However, with a strong pace expected it might be worth siding with La Tres Jolie with Luis Saez back in the saddle tonight. Antonio Sano’s filly drops down in grade and returns to the main track following two recent runs on turf. She’ll be scooping late under Saez and should have enough to see off the other late challenger, I’m That Bird to seal victory.
We stay on the main track for race six on the Gulfstream card, a 7-furlong maiden special weight with Sweden our selection under Edgard Zayas. There’s very little between our pick and the Ralph Nicks trained Carolyn’s Smile on form, but the trip might suit Juan Alvarado’s filly slightly the better tonight.
Carolyn’s Smile should race forward having tried to dominate from the front over 6-furlongs in recent starts here in both March and April. There’s a worry she won’t see out the extra-furlong tonight and could set-up the race nicely for Sweden who drops back in trip and should challenge late to finally secure victory.
Despite a small field of seven runners, this 7-furlong claimer looks open with Yodel E. A. Who, Fortune Cookie or Champagneonme the most likely winner. Fortune Cookie should go off favourite with Irad Ortiz Jr in the saddle for trainer Michael Maker with his record here reading; six wins, three seconds and two thirds in 16-starts at this venue.
The step-up an extra-half furlong should also suit Fortune Cookie, but Yodel E. A. Who gets the vote to return to winning ways for trainer Saffie Joseph. He disappointed in better company last month but remains a solid pick under jockey Edgard Zayas – the four-year-old stays further than seven furlongs and can find extra in the tank to see off Champgneoneme to secure victory.
Frosted Grace doesn’t know how to run a bad race having been placed in the first three positions consistently since last year. He travelled strongly and looked the winner in a better contest here in March before getting beaten a head late on by Todd Pletcher’s Soldado. He can be placed anywhere in his races and should have enough class to see off main market rival, Where’s Paradise Lay.
The four-year-old was claimed out of the Stanley Hough stable following victory here last month on a sloppy dirt track but should be outclassed by Frosted Grace. He has a first start for Brendan Walsh tonight with jockey Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle – the trainer/jockey combination have a good strike-rate this year, teaming up for four-winners and six-seconds from 14 runners – back the forecast.