I’m hosting Stateside on Sky Sports Racing tonight and am primed to get stuck into the fixtures at Tampa bay Downs and Will Rogers Downs.
I have to say, tipping in advance of those meetings is very hard. I always make my bets Stateside as they load the boxes, as I like to compare the local Tote prices with the bookmakers prices in Europe – they can often be very different.
Here are 6 picks that might run well.
Let’s start at Tampa, and Race 1 at 18.00 is a claimer where they are in for a claim of $5000 over six furlongs. I think we will get a good run from Young American @ 9/4, who has a nice draw in stall 2 under Scott Spieth. This horse has been consistent since last winning in October, and the recent speed figures are strong. He can race up to 7f so the distance is no issue and the post position could be key with a main market rival out wide.
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If you want a horse who is going to be very hard to beat, then look no further than Race 2 at Tampa, the 18.30 which is a maiden special weight (classy maiden) over an extended mile for three-year-olds.
The one to stop here is surely Accessible for Eoin Harty.
Four runs have yielded three seconds, which usually sets alarm bells ringing. But he has performed very well both on and off the dirt and stays strong. His speed figures are easily the best, and the booking of red-hot Samy Camacho is also key. Hard to stop and Accessible’s price @ 2/5 reflects this.
I like another in Race 4 at Tampa, the 19.30 and that is Kalu @ 7/2. Familiar colours here, as another Harty runner is in the Godolphin blue. My hope won a maiden claimer two runs ago and then went into a high class open claimer and was stuffed.
However, he got shuffled back that day and now takes a huge drop in grade. His speed figures are fine and should at the very least give us a good run.
The next at Tampa Race 5 at 20.00 is a high-class optional claimer where those that can be claimed are in for $75,000. This is decent stuff, and over a mile on the Turf (just double check the turf track is on as they often switch to the dirt track on account of the fast ground).
Mr Kringle @ 9/4 is out wide in stall 10, but he will be dropped in by Camacho and should finish off strongly. He has been running in fine Stakes contests recently and might just be far too good for this lot.
Will Rogers Downs is always a hard track to crack, but there’s one I like in Race 2 at 19.45 in the shape of Wild Prospect @ 11/10. That might sound crazy after 17 defeats in a row, but this one mile maiden special weight finally gives the mare the chance to get off the mark.
Main rival Bewitchy has been sprinting of late, and although that runner has a verdict over Wild Prospect in the past, I’m hoping my challenger can finally come good in a dreadful race.
Race 3 at the same venue at 20.15 sees some low graders lining up for a maiden claimer where they are in for a lowly $7,500. Most of the runners look very suspect over a mile, and will struggle to see the trip out. One that won’t is High Vision @ 7/2 who is drawn on the inside.
He ran well last time and is proven at the distance.
That might be enough for him to score at the sixth attempt. Indeed, it’s hard to see what else is in the race to beat him over this trip.
So best of luck and pray for a Yeeehaaa or two. Do tune in as well, as come post time thoughts might change when the prices are in front of us all, closer to the off.
Stay safe, stay inside and watch Stateside!
Prices are correct at time of posting but like Matt’s opinions are subject to change.