There was a bit of a difference of opinion among the traders on Samcro (4/1) in this, but we think the best each-way bet might be Melon (10/1). He’s got a very good Cheltenham record and the cheekpieces go back on here, so he stands out for us. Another each-way option would be Annie Mc (14/1) if you’re looking for a bigger price as she’s getting the mares’ allowance.
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There are 24 runners in this handicap and we’re paying seven places, so this could be an opportunity to find some value. The one we like though is Welsh Saint (5/1) from Nicky Henderson. He looked very well treated after winning at Haydock last time – he was given a lenient 4lbs, in our opinion. This stable is flying at the moment, so he looks a decent shout for us.
We don’t think there’s a huge amount between Min (9/4) and A Plus Tard (9/5) at the top of the market, but we’d marginally prefer Min. They’ve both very soild form, but it all ties in with Chacun Our Soi, as, even though Min was beaten by him it could be the pick of the form in this.
It’s very hard to see anything beating Paisley Park (4/6) in this. We were struggling to keep anyone else under 10/1 in the race, which tells the story, really. In the Betting Without Paisley Park market, and as an each-way option, Ronald Pump (18/1) could be interesting. He’s trained in Ireland by Matthew Smith and brings a new form line to the table. He was second in a very good handicap off a high weight at Leopardstown behind Treacysenniscorthy, and he went in again since, so 18/1 could be a worthwhile price each-way.
There’s a relatively short favourite for a handicap in this, and a lot of that is based on collateral form. Imperial Aura won the Novice Handicap on day one, but was beaten by Simply The Betts (3/1) last time, and beaten easily enough at Cheltenham before as well, so that looks reasonably strong form. This appears to be quite a weak race, so the favourite is solid.
This is a tricky race to figure out. We don’t think Minella Melody (3/1) is far enough ahead of the rest justify the price. She has beaten a few in this field, but that was a different race over 2m2f at Punchestown – this is over two miles. We quite like Floressa (7/1) and Dolcita (15/2), both look to be suited to races with big fields going at a decent pace, so they’re both each-way options.
Champagne Platinum (5/1) would look very interesting but he’s probably getting a bit too short now. The one we like is Plan Of Attack (9/1) for Henry de Bromhead. He finished third in the Paddy Power at Christmas, he’s off the same mark here, Barry O’Neill is one of the better amateur jockeys around, and he’ll be a very good jumper so looks likely to place in the top five in this.