Updated: Newbury cancelled folks. It’s NAP time at Lingfield.
Rogue Tide was already gelded and easy to back on recent debut at Kempton, but he shaped with plenty of encouragement, quickening nicely to hold every chance over two furlongs out, but he was carried left soon after which knocked him off his stride.
The re-opposing Clog Maker won the race that day, and is open to improvement himself, but Rogue Tide meets him on 7lb better terms now, and could reverse the form.
Admittedly, there is an element of risk when supporting Master Tommytucker, given he has fallen on his last two starts. However, on both occasions, he has still been full of running, and he looks a potentially smart novice.
This small field will be in his favour and, if getting into a rhythm on the front end, and if he holds his concentration for the full length of the race, he will prove a tough nut to crack.
A typically competitive renewal of this valuable handicap, but Paul Nicholls’ Mont des Avaloirs has a different sort of profile to several of his rivals, and looks the most interesting. He remains a maiden over fences, but he has some useful form in the book, and left the impression that he would be suited by a return to this shorter trip when runner-up over three miles at this course last time.
The testing conditions shouldn’t bother him too much, and he has the scope to prove better than this mark moving forward.