Mick Fitzgerald: Back the Baron to prove his worth at York on Thursday

Mick Fitz has spied a jockey switch that could see Baltic Baron triumph at 3pm.

Mick Fitzgerald

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The 6f Lowther Stakes at York opens the coverage on Thursday at 13.55 and is always a good contest. This year is no exception and there is a short-priced favourite in John Quinn’s Liberty Beach – but her form is strong and warrants the price. The unbeaten Under The Stars is the one who is open to the most improvement after winning her only two starts. She won a Group 2 at Ascot, picking up very well from the back and running on strongly.

I feel Liberty Beach will be too good for her on Thursday.

Liberty Beach’s performance could have a major bearing on the next race too – the 6f Premier Yearling Stakes over 6f at 14.25. The winner will pick up a cool £36k here and it’s no surprise to see Richard Fahey’s Show Me Show Me at the top of the market as he ran a hell of a race to finish third to Liberty Beach at Goodwood. He can get a little upset in the stalls, so it’s important for him to be calm beforehand.

Mums Tipple is the one that could be the real improver in the field for Richard Hannon and Ryan Moore. The form of his win at Ascot has worked out well with the the third-placed Man of Promise and fourth-placed Mr Kiki both winning next time. He is the each-way bet in the line-up if you are worried about Show Me Show Me getting too frisky in the preliminaries beforehand.

York-racecourse

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It’s the long sprint over 7f in the 15.00 where amazingly we have not got more course and distance winners. Normally you get a few York specialists in this. Firmament won here in June but Danny Tudhope has deserted him to ride stable-mate Baltic Baron.

That’s good enough for me.

He has been super consistent and deserves to win this. He has the profile of a horse that David O’Meara does really well with and could be just getting the hang of in his five races since moving from Andre Fabre’s stable in June.

The Yorkshire Oaks is the feature race on the card at 3.35pm and the best middle-distance fillies in the game have won this from Islington at the start of the century to the ill-fated Sea of Class last year. John Gosden’s star filly Enable is here to try and win for the second time, having won in 2017.

Magical finished a game second to her in the Breeders Cup last season and in the Eclipse at Sandown. If Enable is not on her ‘A’ game, then she has a chance of beating her.

However, I really want Enable to win and believe she will.

*Prices correct at time of publishing 

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