She’s going to go off at a decent each-way price because we haven’t seen her since her Listed success at York a couple of months back. Summer Romance is a red-hot favourite, but Good Vibes only got going very late on to win last time and the stiffer test at Ascot will definitely suit. Just because she’s not trained by one of the big names in the game, David Evans’ runner looks four or five points bigger in the market than she should be to me.
Kevin Ryan’s runner is due to win one of these big pots very soon and has a decent overall record at this track. He’s dropped an awful long way down the handicap to a mark of 87, and he gets the assistance of Jamie Spencer in the saddle over this 7f trip. They tend to go very quick up to the turn and that will suit our patient rider, perfectly.
Four of the eight runners are coming in off a victory last time, but a look back at the replays shows Charlie Appleby’s runner was all alone on the stand side and still managed to get his head in front despite racing on his own.
He’s a low-mileage improver in this line-up.
Not been seen for a little while, but that is not a worry as his overall record when fresh is pretty decent. He actually ran really well in the Stewards Cup last year at Goodwood and is now sitting on a mark 2lbs below that. We’ve got the champion jockey Silvestre De Sousa on board and a combination of tongue tie and blinkers, make him a huge each-way player.
At a Group One track like Ascot, there should never be any draw bias. However, when I look back at the recent straight-track form, there’s no doubt the high numbers had an advantage. For that reason, Nigel Tinkler’s northern raider Kaeso is perfectly positioned in stall 23. I also like the way he wasn’t doing a great deal in front when winning at Doncaster last time and only decided to go when challenged.
He’s got some petrol left.
A typical slow burner from this outfit and his last piece of form when close up behind the mighty Enable in the Eclipse at Sandown is standout form. His rider Ryan Moore even thought he was going to cause a massive upset at one point. He meets nothing of that calibre here now.
Let’s hope the superstar mare can continue her winning run, as she looked like she would definitely improve for her outing at Sandown. She will need to be on her ‘A’ game though as Epsom Derby winner Anthony Van Dyck was not seen at his best in the Irish Derby when beaten by his stablemate Sovereign – and he gets the three-year-old allowance here. Maybe a reverse exacta is the way to play in this contest. The ‘jolly’ is very short and Paddy hates it when we get the value!