16:00 Bath – Wedding Date
I like following Silvestre De Sousa when he makes the trip to Bath and he’s the main reason I’m quite strong on Wedding Date. The horse has been in very good form of late, beating Moss Gill at York earlier in the season and also winning a competitive Newmarket handicap towards the end of June. He was a little bit disappointing when third at Windsor last time, though the fifth, Pass the Gin has won since to give the form a strong look.
De Sousa takes over from Thore Hammer Hansen now, and given how well he rides the track, he’ll be hard to beat. Tinto and Wise Words look the main dangers, though the latter is one the handicapper may have, after being given 8lbs for finishing fourth in a weak Listed race last time where he was possibly flattered.
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17:40 Nottingham – Tajdeed
Tajdeed has been disappointing in his career to date though ran much better than his finishing position at Sandown last time. He seemed to pay the price for chasing a frenetic early pace though did best of those that were ridden prominently, with both the winner and the second being held up to an extreme.
He steps up to 10f here in what arguably looks a weaker race than Sandown and he has one of the better apprentices riding in the race on board, so I think he could go very close to winning this.
19:40 Nottingham – Bogardus
Bogardus has been well beaten on his last three starts, going off massive prices on each occasion, though I thought he shaped very well at Musselburgh last time over a trip that stretched his stamina.
That race was won easily by Lever Du Soleil off 54, who has won twice since, and looks like he’ll be rated in the 80s very soon. Bogardus was beaten seven lengths, though he travelled as well as anything and looked likely to be placed at the two furlong pole, before tiring late as his stamina ran out.
He’s dropped back in trip by two furlongs here, at a course he’s won at before. On ground that really should suit, he looks a solid each-way play in the race.Scoot over to PaddyPower.com now for all the latest racing odds