Jason Weaver: I’m all over Melting Dew at 13/2 for Newmarket

The Weaver Shark scoots through the ITV races at Newmarket and Beverley on Saturday.

Comments

13:25 Beverley – Poets Dawn @ 10/1

He went off ridiculously fast here just 19 days ago over 1f further so the drop-back in distance to 7f, should obviously help. I can see him proving very hard to catch off bottom weight. With Elerfaan likely to head the market, that gives us room to move at an each-way price.

14:00 Beverley – Three Coins @ 7/2

Richard Fahey’s runner did it very well on her racecourse debut at Ripon. She got to the front and did very little late on suggesting she had a bit up her sleeve. She’s drawn just inside of the likely pace angle, so ideally will get a nice toe into the contest and can take another big step forward.

15:15 Beverley – Oh Purple Reign @ 6/4

Put up a massive performance when second last time to a very good Godolphin hot-pot Pinatubo, in the Woodcote Stakes at Epsom last weekend.  He got lost in the early stages of that contest and did remarkably well to finish well, once he finally got balanced. The slight worry is the drop back in trip to 5f. If he can keep tabs on the speedier types early on, he should prove far too good for this field.

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14:10 Newmarket – Awe @ 4/1

Got absolutely knocked about from pillar to post in the Silver Bowl at Haydock last time, but wasn’t beaten that far in the end. It was a remarkable effort considering the passage he had to navigate. He makes a fairly quick reappearance, but that shouldn’t be a problem. The main danger could be the top-weight, Blown By Wind, who looks to be much better than a handicapper. However, he runs again quickly and could easily suffer from the dreaded bounce factor.

14:45 Newmarket – Melting Dew @ 13/2

You can put a line through his last run at Newmarket. I was close enough to inspect him in the parade ring and he had nowhere near come in his coat – and it showed. He was first off the bridle but wasn’t beaten miles in the end and wasn’t given a hard time by today’s pilot Ryan Moore, He has to improve past Spirit Ridge, but given the form of Sir Michael Stoute’s stable, that is highly possible.

We’re getting a formidable trainer & jockey combo at a decent price.

*Prices correct a time of publishing

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What do you think?