Contingency should be too good for the rest of these and she’s, without doubt, the best horse in the race. Her price is reflective of her chance, but the only worry against her is the two-mile trip. She should be able to overcome that though and I’d say she’s just too good for this opposition even if she’s not a two-miler by trade.
Savina doesn’t show a whole pile at home in Willie’s yard, but she keeps going well. She’ll stay at it, but she’ll have to be a little bit better at the track than she is at home to win here.
I just believe that Irish sprinting and English sprinting are two very different things. When you watched Hathiq at the Curragh last weekend, the race was over after a furlong and a half. He had spread-eagled the whole field with the speed he showed. That’s not going to happen at Epsom, these are very fast horses he’s running against and he’s not going to be in control of the race that early again. He’s got a chance, but it’s a tough one.
I believe it’s significant that Ryan Moore has gone for Sir Dragonet, even though he’s never ridden him and he did ride Broome in Leopardstown. To me, that’s a very telling decision and I would have to say that makes Sir Dragonet the most likely winner of the Derby. If you’re looking for one at a bit of value, I was impressed by Madhmoon in the English Guineas. He was very good in the last 100 yards. The pedigree is very suspicious about him staying, but I just liked what I saw. He could very well be a nice each-way play because everything the horse is doing screams stamina.