Jason Weaver: I’ll be over the Moon if this 10/1 shot wins the Derby

Five races on the tellybox. One Jason Weaver who fancies Madhmoon to be a leading player in Saturday's big race.

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Comments

14:00 Politicise @ 5/1

William Haggas’ runner put up a massive performance at Haydock when not getting the best of runs late on behind a future Group performer in Oasis Prince. He has been left alone by the handicapper on a very lenient looking rating of 85. With no weight on his back and a crack lightweight pilot on board – there is a lot to get excited about.

14:35 Anna Nerium @ 9/2

The red-hot favourite Voracious can be taken on. I looked at her closely in the paddock under a month ago and she was nowhere near ready to rock. She finished fourth that day and her trainer Sir Michael Stoute will have to have worked a miracle to get her here in tip-top form. Our selection won the Free Handicap at HQ last season and was unlucky when a good second in this very race 12 months ago. Anna Nerium is tough, in form and not far away from the fav on ratings.

She looks overpriced. to me.

15:10 Zaaki @ 6/4

Took a massive scalp at Ascot on his reappearance in the shape of Barney Roy. Even allowing that that runner was returning from a long lay-off that form is well above anything shown in this line-up. He looks the day’s bet to me.

15:45 Eeh Bah Gum @ 12/1

He’s going to need everything to drop just right in the Epsom Dash – but you could say that about everything with a chance in this line-up. He’s got a decent draw in stall 14, a good 3lb claimer in Jamie Gormley on board and he gets the rattling fast ground which he clearly likes. His his last two runs at York can be upgraded dramatically as on the first occasion he was drawn away from the pace and on the second try, he was slowly away and never saw any daylight before it was far too late. Looks decent each-way value in a race Paddy’s paying 5 places.

Madhmoon

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16:30 Epsom Derby: Madhmoon 10/1 & Japan 10/1

It’s very rare that I put up two selections in one race, but I can make a strong case for both these. Japan was never at the races in the Dante Stakes at York last time but stayed on pleasingly after being way too far out of his ground. We can expect him to improve. Madhmoon on the other hand holds a speed advantage over this field as nothing else in the line-up would have the gears to finish fourth in a 2,000 Guineas, like he did at Newmarket a few weeks ago. Both are just shades of double digits with Paddy who is paying 4 places.

*Prices correct at publication 

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What do you think?