Fairyhouse Tuesday: Four picks to fill your Lucky 15

We'll miss the jumps soon so appreciate them while they're still here

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There’s nothing quite like holding onto the last remnants of the jumps season, and where better to do it than Fairyhouse, as the Irish weather ensures ten going changes between the first and second races?

Nowhere, that’s right. There are four televised races tomorrow, and we’ve got you covered for a selection in each of them. All aboard!

15:10 – Camelia De Cotte @ 5/2

This tasty little encounter might look like it has some capable mares at decent prices, but Barra hasn’t done a whole lot since her third at Cheltenham in the Coral last year, and she definitely never lived up to her narrow defeat to Let’s Dance two years ago.

Slowmotion was well behind a lucky winner of the mares’ hurdle in Rocksana at the Festival and that form isn’t up to match, so we can focus on the Mullins duo atop the betting.

It comes down to whether or not you believe Camelia de Cotte can win despite carrying five pounds more than the market leader, Pravalaguna. The oddsmakers don’t seem to think so but does a tailed off JLT showing at 14/1 really make her the go-to?

The daughter of Laveron is three-from-four for Willie Mullins and she shaped as if something was amiss against Kaiser Black in a Grade 3 in March. She’s the pick at 5/2.

15:40 – The Church Gate @ 4/1

There will be only one winner of this race and that’s the horse who would have cantered home at Limerick last time out had he not been run out. Running off the same mark, 107, with a seven-pound claimer on board to even further shift the weights in his favour, The Church Gate (4/1) should hose in here.

You always need to be aware of the De Bromhead and Rachael Blackmore combination, but Surf Instructor has gone up a pound for finishing third, in what was an accurate reflection of how the race was won. Presenting Julio may present the danger at a big price.

16:10 – The Gunner Murphy @ 10/1

You look at this race and start to think you should just fire a dart and hope for the best. But then you look at the runners a bit more closely and you spot familiar colours. JP McManus teams up with Joseph O’Brien and Champion Hurdle-winning jockey Mark Walsh aboard a 127-rated good thing who ran on last time out.

His mark of 127 might well be way off and The Gunner Murphy can stroll home among some very tired, over-weighted animals. Insult in the Gigginstown colours is exceptionally unexposed and his impressive victory at Punchestown might see him well in, but he’s going up significantly in trip, even if he’s a son of Scorpion.

16:40 – Jezki @ 12/1

Look, I’m not saying he’s well handicapped. I’m not saying he retains even a percentage of his old ability, but what I am saying is that a rating of 148 with a very good claimer on his back means Jezki can outrun a massive price in this contest.

Ask Susan would have a big chance, but temperament is her biggest letdown, while nothing at the top of the market screams that they’re half a stone well in on the ratings. At this price, you’ve nothing to lose and a sentimental feel-good bet could be the perfect end to Easter, as you no longer feel obliged to give chocolate eggs to people you don’t even like.

Lucky 15 Summary:

15:10 – Camelia De Cotte @ 5/2
15:40 – The Church Gate @ 4/1
16:10 – The Gunner Murphy @ 10/1
16:40 – Jezki @ 12/1

We’ve had our fair share of eggs. Anyway, odds odds odds at PaddyPower.com

What do you think?