Getareason was disappointing in Limerick. He raced too keenly and didn’t quite get home.
Paul Townend gave Robin de Carlow a very good ride there to win the mares hurdle, the others went to fast and she picked up the pieces.
There’s not a whole pile of difference between the two of these. Robin de Carlow get 7lbs off Getareason, so that could be the difference, but they’re both in good form.
This looks to be between the top three.
Robin de Foret probably wouldn’t want too much more rain. He’s shown he can handle good ground through the summer, he’s been banging on the door in a lot of races and finished second to Le Richebourg the last day.
He’s a decent horse, he doesn’t want too much rain, but this looks like an opportunity for him if it does stay dry.
Of the rest, Winter Escape was very good in Galway, and he’d probably want the wetter ground.
Minella Beau just lacks the bit of experience you’d want, that’d be your big worry for him, and it’s a competitive race, but he’s in good form.
He’s rated at 132, he’s 2lbs too high for the rated novice chases, and when you look at the graded races with Robin de Foret and the like, he’s rated too low to be taking those on, so handicapping is his best option.
He does seem to be in good order even though he lacks experience, he’s a good jumper, I think he’ll get the trip and he’ll run a good race.
He’ll win one these big handicaps, I’m just not certain Sunday will be his day. I hope it is.
Out of Gordon Elliott’s four, you’re looking for the improver. It’s hard to see much improvement in Rogue Angel or Timyan, so maybe there’d be some in Poormans Hill or Out Sam.
Northern Belle won in Clonmel but I think Patrick Mullins’ made the right choice with Royal Illusion here. It’s a little ironic to be saying a 6-year-old could be improving, but she has improved from her first run, and I think she’ll be hard to beat to be honest.
Willie has ten of the twenty runners here, it’s their last shot at a flat race this season.
Limini ran well in Newmarket and just didn’t get home, but the handicapper has her, and it’s the same for Whiskey Sour and Nessun Dorma.
Colm Keane’s on Stratum and he’s in really good order, he raced a bit too keenly in the English Cesarewitch but he’s working really well and definitely one of our big runners here.
Uradel ran a blinder behind Low Sun in the Cesarewitch too, and carries his penalty for that, but is in good order and improving.
Chelkar’s been very disappointing since Ascot. I’ve been riding him myself in work the last couple of mornings, I think he’s in good form, but he’s been very disappointing this season. The price he’s at, he’s worth an each-way punt at best.
We held on to Pakora because we’re waiting on the rain. She likes an ease in the ground, so the more rain that falls the better chance she has.
Exchange Rate is sneaking his way up the weights as well with good runs but not getting his head in front in handicaps.
I’m not sure there’s much left in his handicap mark, but he’ll pay his way through the winter over hurdles.
Ben Coen’s on Makitorix, who has been unbelievably disappointing in his last few starts. He’s not brigning his homework to the racecourse at all. Maybe he will in this.
Pleasure Dome didn’t get much a run in the Irish Cesarewitch. Drop back in trip won’t really suit, but she’s in good form and has no weight on her back. If she gets away, gets going early and into a good position she’ll run a big race.
Law Girl didn’t get much of a run at Lingfield during the week, she got knocked around a bit early in the straight, she’s taking a chance hoping to get some black type. Riven Light’s in really good form but I personally think a mile-and-a-half stretches him. He hasn’t run since Korea, and he’s in good order, but I think it’s too far for him.
Ruby’s Best Bets on Sunday
*All odds correct at time of posting