I’m going to forgive Lily’s Prince his last effort as it was up over 7 furlongs. He now drops back down to the sprint trip which suits him best.
There’s also a positive jockey switch: last year‘s champion jockey swings his leg back on board and a return to the form that saw him second of 14 two starts ago should be good enough.
Although Fastidious‘s two victories to date have come over 7 furlongs there is little doubt that he will get this extra furlong, especially with Pat Smullen taking over from an inexperienced rider. He was ridden far too handily last time and a return to more patient tactics could see this well-handicapped runner back to the winners enclosure.
It’s been a case of burnt fingers on the last two occasions with Nulife, but I feel the last trip up over a mile-and-a-half just proved too far for him. His return run off a short break over today’s course and distance was a cracker behind California Lad and Shake the Bucket – that sort of form would put him bang in the mix.
Pak Choi took a big step forward when running a much better race up at Newcastle last time, finishing second of 13 and only beaten by a length and a half. He previously finished behind the very highly regarded Walk In The Sun, and was a massive price on that occasion.
He looks to be going the right way – I’m just disappointed he won’t be 50/1 this time!
Georgian Bay has been a very solid handicap for connections down the years, picking up just over £100,000 in winning and place money. Three of his four lifetime wins have come around this ballpark at Kempton.
The mile trip is absolutely fine and he is a straightforward competitor.
When switched to his current trainer, Dan Skelton, Too Many Diamonds found an extra leg and rattled off a four-timer over hurdles. Unsurprisingly the handicapper caught up with him, rising from 72 all the way to 103.
Back on the level looking for his first flat victory, he now is perched on a handicap of just 45 and he’s had a wind operation as well.