While there’s a slight suspicion that Sir Dancealot is at his best over 7f, the trip over 6f shouldn’t inconvenience him too much here. There’s a strong stat suggesting the high draw has a massive advantage at Doncaster over 5f and 6f, so much so that over a third of horses drawn in the highest stall win over 5f, with only a negligible difference at 6f.
Sir Dancealot is drawn 14 of 14, and there should be a strong pace to aim at, and it’s easy to see him travelling well in the race. He should be able to put this to bed handily enough.
On Tour, perhaps, is a horse that may not be as classy as one or two others in this field, but he was second in this race last year, beaten by a length by Thomas Brown off just pounds higher. He runs off 135 here, and is ridden by a very good young claimer in Mitch Bastyan, who is excellent value for the claim of five.
This horse’s record fresh is excellent, and has history of winning this race. Evan Williams’ stable hit form with some winners at Chepstow and this horse could go very well off a decent price, though it may be one to back each-way.
Charbel has an excellent record fresh, and has some extremely strong form. It was fifth in the Supreme Hurdle, which was won by Altior with Min second and Buveur d’Air third in one of the hottest ever fields.
In March, Charbel really looked like he was going to put it up to Altior, and was still in the lead when he fell two out. Now he’s running off a mark of 149, and if he’s primed to go – which he should be considering his recent record – he’ll prove to be on a different level to the rest of the horses in this field.
15:30 Naas – Paddy Power Beginners Chase
Bacardys was an excellent novice hurdler, following on from a season in which he was an excellent bumper horse. He was unlucky at Cheltenham in the Neptune where a faller hampered him early on, as a result of which he was never really able to get into the race. He made amends for this at Punchestown, after which he also won a Grade 1 at Leopardstown.
He goes fencing here, and while it’s a tricky race running against the likes of Snow Falcon, he has been schooling very well and his stable has high hopes for him. It would be no surprise to see him win here, and is definitely one to keep in mind for Cheltenham in March.
Odds correct at time of posting.