Pinzolo, Lingfield, 2.10pm
He started out life as an also-ran in Australia’s 2014 Derby win, but more recently has now found a good level of form on the all weather. The form of his last run behind Convey is very solid with the horse that finished behind him, Absolute Blast, subsequently winning at Kempton.
I’ve a feeling this may turn out to be a very tactical affair. He’s the best equipped for the sprint for home in this 2m Conditions Stakes.
Roger Varian reaches for the blinkers for the first time and that can get her to focus enough here to take this prize. She’s drawn wide but that is factored into the price.
The main reason I fancy here is that she has one outstanding piece of form that I don’t think any of the opposition could run to when under a three-length fifth to Esoterique and Integral in the Grade One Sun Chariot Stakes last season.
She could have been even closer if she got a clearer run and at the prices, with two victories to her name last season, looks the best bet on the card to me.
It’s tight at the top of the market with the top three all having good claims. However, this is a sprint and things often don’t go to script.
BTG is drawn perfectly just outside the middle runners and this will give jockey Andrea Atzeni options. Mythmaker will try and blast from stall 1, but Atzeni has to be aware if Mythmaker doesn’t hit the lids perfectly, BTG could just be the lone speed.
Either way, Tony Carroll’s runner can at least hit the frame at double-digit odds.
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It could be a good day for Roger Varian as his four-year-old looks a good thing here.
He’s got tactical speed, is well drawn in box 2 and his rating of 113 – ther highest in the field – doesn’t look to be his ceiling. He could go on to possibly be a Grade 1 performer.
Paddy will be sweating if this goes in as he’ll be the cornerstone of many multiples today.
Mark Johnston’s runner bids to turn it around with the ‘jolly’ Second Thought and there’s plenty who’ll think he’s got no chance of doing so – having been beaten by him twice.
However, Sutter County is much better over sprint distances than 7f and I’m hoping Second Thought is going to prove better over a trip in excess of 6f. I hope Sutter County can throw a spanner in the works.
There wouldn’t be too many sold from one owner to another and still find themselves in the same yard from Sir Michael Stoute’s stable.
Convey is a late-maturing type that his master trainer does so well with. He must have known that he has loads more to offer and suffered the cruelest cut of all (gelded) before he beat Pinzolo in the Winter Derby over 10f.
He looks more focused since the undercarriage has gone and can score again. Paddy take note!