There are two massive ante-post betting events this weekend and as always I like to get stuck in and grab the value before the off.
I am fully aware that I am setting myself up for a big fall here, but in the past three years of the Classic Chase at Warwick I have colluded with Dromnea (3rd @16/1), Hawkes Point (1st@10/1 ante-post) and in 2013 Shotgun Paddy also @10/1.
Be warned past performances are no guarantee of future profit, but I am firmly in the camp of Alan King’s SEGO SUCCESS and GOODTOKNOW as my two against the field.
Now before you all shout out that ‘Sego’ does have his jumping frailties, I know, but he has some engine inside when getting into a rhythm.
In the 2016 renewal, the nine-year-old was sent off the 7/1 fav only to capitulate at the second obstacle when unsighted in behind horses.
His last two runs at Bangor and Doncaster strongly suggest he retains all of his ability and that he requires a deeper test of stamina to boot.
And the cream on the cake? Well, he is now a full 6lbs lower than last year’s rating!
Ready to rumble
Goodtoknow was spot on for the Welsh National, but was balloted out of the Chepstow feature in December.
The son of Presenting has shown he can handle these tough fences in the past and arrives here ready to rumble off exactly the same handicap mark he defied to win at Taunton last season.
Of course for such a valuable staying prize there are any number of dangers, chief among them are One For Arthur and Ballycross. The last named looks as though he will relish this step up in trip following two eye-catching runs over 3m at Chepstow.
The name Lanzarote evokes great memories whether it be the horse that denied Comedy of Errors back-to-back Champion Hurdle crowns in the early 1970’s or that fine Canary Island destination for sun, sea, sand and Full Monty breakfasts.
The handicap hurdle named in his honour at Kempton Park on Saturday (2.40pm) looks to have a deep entry this year.
Paul Nicholls has declared declared Old Guard so stablemate Modus won’t have to shoulder top-weight.
But I’ve already grabbed the 7/1 (each-way) about the hugely progressive five-year-old DOESYOURDOGBITE and he can maintain his unbeaten record for Jonjo O’Neill.
And finally, put into your little black punting book, THIRD ACT, who was behind early before staying on third to Wild West Wind at Wincanton last weekend. And FLECKER who is crying out for a step back up to a seventh furlong at Lingfield. You have been told!