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Jason Weaver: Stick with this 9/1 shot to finally come good at Newcastle tonight

A 20/1 double kept the Weaver Shark's strike rate up last Friday so we'll take his word on Robert Cowell's Edith Weston in the 5.50pm

Jason Weaver

Jubilee Brig, Newcastle, 5.20pm

Took a big slap from the handicapper after winning well up at Carlisle. The race just fell in his lap as they went very fast early and then fell in a hole up front. A rating of 83 was too tough but it has only taken five runs to drop to a very tempting mark of 74.

He’s back on the all-weather where all but one of his wins have been and the Newcastle track should suit his style of running.  A very decent each-way price too.

Edith Weston, Newcastle, 5.50pm 

I know a win ratio of 0-16 is not pretty, but she is coming here off her best run for a while. Importantly, that came over C&D and she will need them to go hard up front to help her late running style. The two recent winners in the line up were getting their first taste of success at the 11th and 21st attempt so they’re far from guaranteed to follow up.

Red Avenger, Dundalk, 6.35pm 

He’s two pounds wrong in the handicap stepping up in grade. However, at his best, taking the weight into account, he’s still running off an attractive mark of 83. He could be called the victor a long way out last time and the winning margin of three quarters of a length would of been much more had he not committed so early in the straight. Wait, Rory, wait!

Gold in the Sand? Gallop over to PP.com

Royal Roslea, Dundalk, 7.35pm

Won over this trip at Bellewstown and after three tries over shorter she’s not only on her last winning mark,  but at the right trip also. They tried to force the pace over the shorter trip and although she ran well it’s not her ideal style. Oisin Orr (2) knows her well and the wide draw is not the end of the world over 12f at Fundalk.

 Chatterton, Dundalk, 8.05pm 

I put him up here last week and am going to the edge of the cliff again! He’s stepped up in trip and that can get him back to the winner’s circle for the third time. He’s very well treated off 47 and I’m hoping they ride him cold from off the pace. A lot of these come into this with the same profile, but he has a few less “ifs” about him.

Keukenhof, Dundalk, 9.05pm

In five races here at Fundalk she’s not been beaten more than three & three quarter lengths. Johnny Murtagh’s mare is tough and very consistent and doesn’t have loads of miles on the clock. This three-year-old is still improving and now she goes up in trip to the extended 10f there should be a bit more improvement from her. The Weld runner Surprisingly will take a pounding from punters so our filly could go off at a fair price.

What do you think?