John Gosden’s runner wasn’t seen to best effect when sixth on his most recent outing in the King George over this course and distance in July. He was held up in a race where those ridden prominently fared best and made little impression once asked for his effort in the final two furlongs.
The balance of his form suggests he was unlikely to be up to the task anyway, but he has shown himself to be a very smart performer at Group 3 level in the past and ran as well as ever when third in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes here in June.
That most of his best form has come over 1m 2f is a slight concern, but he receives 3 lb from Arab Spring and Kings Fete and that could be enough to swing things in his favour.
Aidan O’Brien’s filly was a dominant winner of her last start in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown, where she showed a previously unseen turn of foot as she forged clear in the final furlong, confirming the promise of her Falmouth Stakes victory at Newmarket in July,
The form of that Irish contest looks strong, with the second Persuasive, bringing an unbeaten record into the race and the third Qemah, already a dual Group 1 winner.
That effort gives her the edge over Ervedya on Timeform ratings and, with this quicker ground likely to see her in an even better light, Alice Springs is expected to prove extremely difficult to beat and can register her third Group 1 win of the season.