The deluge that hit Newbury on Thursday has completely altered the likely outcome of the featured Group races. It is all about trying to find horses that cope in soft or heavy ground.
Legendary Lunch sets the standard in The Group Two Mill Reef Stakes (2.15pm) but there could be a bit of value in Clive Cox’s Harry Angel who was unlucky last time on debut at Ascot when narrowly beaten by a Godolphin hotpot. He should improve for that run here.
The Group 3 Dubai Duty Free Legacy (1.45pm) is there for the taking for Dartmouth – but he’s never really coped with soft ground before. I’m going to take a chance on Robin of Navan who is guaranteed to cope and he should come on a lot for his run last time at Kempton when second to Arab Spring.
Cahrlie Hills’ Cotai Glory could hit the jackpot in the World Trophy Stakes at 3.25pm if he lines up in the 5f test. He was a good runner up to Profitable at Royal Ascot but got stuck in the mud at the Curragh last weekend. Clive Cox’s Priceless could be the danger if he lines up.
Roger Charlton’s Imperial Aviator looked so good when winning on softish ground earlier in the season that he has to be top of the list for the 1m 2f Handicap. He was a bit out of his depth in the Group 2 Great Voltiguer at York and can make amends here.
Baydar is on a winning run and could be a player here too for Josephine Gordon and trainer Hugo Palmer.
Ayr has two really competitive sprints in the Ayr Gold and Silver Cups and the draw is crucial.
Ante-post favourite Growl has been given stall six and has to be on the short-list. He had a luckless run at Goodwood but has form on soft ground.
Brando is another drawn well in stall four and he looked very good at Sandown when in front way too early.
With a guaranteed fast pace he can go close and trainer Kevin Ryan has a great record in this contest. Poyle Vinnie ran a cracker last year and a small interest each-way won’t go astray.
You could back half the field in the Silver Cup at 2.35pm and still not come up with the winner. The two I really like are not ideally drawn. George Bowen is in box 16 and didn’t really get into the race last weekend at the Curragh where Intisaab was second to New Bidder.
Intisaab has run some great races and Danny Tudhope keeps the faith. Stamp Hill has the services of very good young claimed Adam McNamara on board and this improving three-year-old could be a bit of value if any more rain arrives.