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The course is three yards in from its full width and it remains to be seen how that impacts any possible draw bias, but the chances are they’ll make for the near side on drying ground. STUNT, who shaped nicely from a wide draw on the all-weather 19 days ago, sets a good standard. Meanwhile, Crazyland isthe most interesting newcomer, despite the fact she doesn’t turn two until next month.
A tough race to sort out, especially with no guaranteed pace, and one in which Aria Rose will need to transfer this year’s all-weather improvement back to turf off his revised mark after running Flat at a short price last time.
Hawridge Flyer will find this company easier but would have preferred slower ground, so maybe CARP KID – who has a good record here and won on his turf return two years ago off this mark – can end a losing run.
It’s hard to get away from OUTRAGE, who’s enjoyed a successful all-weather campaign and returns to turf on a mark 11lbs lower than when running well at Lingfield nine days ago. Union Rose is traditionally best in the autumn, while the regressive Kick On Kick On has been expensive to follow. Shining could give the selection most to think about back at her preferred trip.
An easy winner on the all-weather late last year, One Last Dance will find this tougher off a 10lb higher mark against some unexposed rivals – headed by Save A Forest and INVITE – who are both making their turf debuts. Preference is for the latter, who came right away with an interesting winner on her recent comeback for new connections.
An interesting novice in which the market is likely to tell a tale, with plenty of the bigger Newmarket yards represented. Derby entrant Surefire is open to plenty of improvement, as are several others, but OZ LEGEND – who had Handsome back in seventh when winning at Newcastle last backend – gets the nod.
Sarah’s Verse stays further and the strong pace in a big field round a stiff Bath course suited when she had Fard and Delagate The Lady well behind two weeks ago. Today’s easier course from the outside stall provides a different test off a 4lbs higher mark and this looks good for DELLA MARE (NAP), who’s lightly raced and potentially well handicapped having come away with two subsequent winners on the all-weather last time.
Top of the list is the resurgent four-year-old TWICE AS LIKELY, who completed a Wolverhampton double in good style off 5lbs lower last Saturday and is a major player again under suitable conditions back on turf.
Most of the others have quite a lot to prove on one count or another, but Major Valentine has dropped a long way in the weights. He could pose a serious threat if he can build on his all-weather third last month.
Bad Company found stacks of improvement when winning his final four starts last season, but that golden spell came in the mud and he has a bit to prove back on fast ground after 166 days off. Enough Already produced a late surge to get off the mark at Lingfield in February and he’s respected back on turf.
But, our preference is for another last-time-out winner in LEROY LEROY. He justified favouritism off a reduced mark at Doncaster on his seasonal return and remains well treated on his old form.
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