Just before Christmas Royal Birth was a narrow winner here over this trip, with Ornate, Lihou, Watchable and Verne Castle all behind. They all re-oppose here and Recon Mission comes here under a 5lb penalty for a win here on New Year’s Eve.
There is just so much pace on here, that it could impact the chance of the likes of Ornate, Recon Mission and even Verne Castle and everything looks sure to set up to suit ROYAL BIRTH. He is only 2lbs higher than that win and provided the pace is as strong as I anticipate, he should be rattling home at the finish.
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Lucy Wadham has won this race three times in the last six years and perhaps she will enhance that strike rate with Shantung here. She found the two-mile trip too sharp for her last time at Southwell and the step up to the two and a half mile trip will suit her.
She runs here off a mark of 107 and she was running off marks around 120 just a little over a year ago. Wadham has a 25% strike rate at Fakenham and a repeat of SHANTUNG‘s 4th at Lingfield on her reappearance off 2lbs higher should see her involved at the business end of things here.
Frank Hickey’s top tips for Monday
More Monday best bets
- Timeform’s top trio at Wolverhampton
- 7 super selections for Monday at Fakenham
- 8 Timeform tips for Lingfield on the all-weather