Invincible Cave got the better of Alka Step and Corrie Lake last time at Plumpton and the 7lb penalty is negated by Nathan Brennan’s 10lb claim, but I am going to side with the least exposed runner in the field in Miss Molinari. She has only had the five career starts but on her last start, she bolted up here off a mark of 89. That also coincided with the first time that she raced on heavy ground and she looks on a fair mark despite the 6lb rise. She hasn’t been seen since that run in January but provided she is pretty straight here, she should run well.
Fox Le Bel is yet to get his head in front in nine starts under rules but he ran reasonably well on his three starts in handicaps over hurdles off marks in the 90’s. He was strong in the market on his reappearance at Tipperary last month, when making his handicap debut over fences over two and half miles.
He travelled well that day and his jumping was actually quite good but just as he was moving into contention, he got in tight to the fourth last fence and unseated his rider. He runs here off the same mark of 92 and he is surely capable of winning off this mark.
Tribemans Glory was a point winner who didn’t show much in bumpers or over hurdles but he really benefited for the step up in trip and for going chasing when getting off the mark under rules last time out at Bangor. That was just his second handicap start and he is open to plenty more improvement and a 12lb rise for the Bangor win may not prevent a follow up now.
Primo Bacio hasn’t been seen since two quick runs in September but she showed plenty of ability when fifth on her second start at Newmarket over seven furlongs. That form has worked out really nicely, with the Winner winning at Group level on her next start and the 3rd, 6th, 7th & 10th all winning next time out.
Primo Bacio was weak at the finish that day, so the drop back to six furlongs could prove ideal and I wouldn’t be surprised to see her bounce out in front from her nice draw. Hopefully she won’t see another rival.
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