The Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is a bit like an Avengers film. A battle involving the biggest stars, it brings together a whole host of storylines that have been built up culminating in a thrilling finale.
Therefore, if you’re planning to have a punt on the Arc it’s only sensible to remind yourself of who won what, where and when. I mean, if you were going to the cinema to watch the latest Marvel movie, it’d only be wise to have a quick gander at Wikipedia to remind yourself of previous plot points…
You probably lead a busy life and have little to no time to remind yourself of the previous seven months of horse racing, however, that’s not a problem as I’ve gone to the effort and done the research for you.
Form is not the only factor that needs consideration, however, as the all-important draw could help or hinder a horse’s chance in Longchamp’s feature.
The latest Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe odds can be found on the Paddy Power website and Paddy Power app, otherwise details of the key form lines and draw bias for the big race can be found below.
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2023 form lines
It would only be sensible to start with course-and-distance contests and FEED THE FLAME has had a couple of cracks over 12 furlongs at Longchamp. A 1l defeat of Adelaide River in the Grand Prix de Paris revealed his status as a live contender for the Arc but he failed to confirm odds-on favouritism when suffering a 2½l defeat to Deutsches Derby winner FANTASTIC MOON in September’s Prix Niel on good ground.
PLACE DU CARROUSEL won last season’s Prix de l’Opera over 10 furlongs on Arc day beating the likes of Above The Curve, Nashwa and Tuesday. The Lope De Vega filly subsequently confirmed her ability to stay a mile and a half in the Prix Foy on Trials Day at Longchamp, although that race was run two seconds slower than the Prix Niel.
ACE IMPACT has yet to tackle Longchamp or the Arc trip, although the Cracksman colt is unbeaten in five races and boasts the 1m2½f Prix du Jockey Club – where he trounced Feed The Flame – and the 1m2f Prix Guillaume d’Ornano on his CV.
A couple of contenders from different parts of the world boast form lines that can be tied together by Equinox. THROUGH SEVEN SEAS got to within a neck of the superstar in the Takarazuka Kinen, albeit the winner had to chart a wide course round the bend, while WESTOVER was 3½l behind in the Dubai Sheema Classic.
HUKUM narrowly got the better of Westover by a head in the King George VI at Ascot in July last time out, which RPRs suggest is the smartest piece of form on offer.
The Yorkshire Oaks pointed us in the direction of last season’s Arc winner and the only runner from this year’s renewal set to take their chance at Longchamp is FREE WIND, who finished a head behind subsequent Prix Vermeille scorer Warm Heart.
A year further back and the Grosser Preis von Berlin proved a key stepping stone for Torquator Tasso. SIMCA MILLE got the better of SISFAHAN by ¾l at Hoppegarten in the trial in August. The former also got the better of BAY BRIDGE, VADENI and Place Du Carrousel in the Prix Ganay at Longchamp over an extended 10 furlongs at the start of this season.
Enable took in the September Stakes before her second Arc triumph in 2018 and this year’s renewal on the all-weather track at Kempton was won by Bay Bridge on his first crack at 12 furlongs.
Finally, the St Leger-Arc double has never been achieved in the same season which does not bode well for CONTINUOUS, who has been supplemented at a cost of €120,000 after romping to Classic glory at Doncaster two weeks ago.
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2023 draw bias
The draw for the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2023 took place after final declarations on Thursday, September 28.
1) Westover 2) Feed The Flame 3) Free Wind 4) Haya Zark 5) Through Seven Seas 6) Bay Bridge 7) Continuous 8) Ace Impact 9) Onesto 10) Mr Hollywood 11) Place Du Carrousel 12) Fantastic Moon 13) Sisfahan 14) Hukum 15) Simca Mille
Westover appears to have his work cut out from stall one as just one horse has won from that gate since 2000.
The historical data suggests it is better to be drawn low as 16 of the 21 winners in the 21st century (when the race was held at Longchamp) broke from stall eight or lower.
Bay Bridge lines up in stall six which has provided the most winners (6) since the turn of the century.
The bad news for Hukum supporters is that only two horses have won the Arc from stall 14 in the last 21 runnings at Longchamp.
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