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There are plenty of unexposed types that are making their handicap debuts but I’m going for Master Cornwall, trained by James Dullea who had a winner at Leopardstown on Friday. He’s rated 69 on the flat, though that rating perhaps overestimates him a bit. He showed nothing in three starts in maiden hurdles.
He was a 33/1 shot on his handicap debut at Tramore off a rating of 93 when third beaten less than four lengths by Dullea’s more fancied Sweet Sixteen. He’s been raised 2 lbs since that run but can build on it now.
Cadamosto was a £130,000 No Nay Never colt, so he should handle the ground if it ends up on the soft side. He had an impressive winning debut up at Dundalk over 5f when easily accounting for the re-opposing Silver Surfer.
Silver Surfer finished in front on Andreas Vesalius last time, so Cadamosto should hold him. Twilight Jet cost a few bob and could be the danger but Michael O’ Callaghan’s runner will need to be well above average to win on debut. Any market strength would be significant.
The worry is that Cadamosto has been entered five times and only raced once. The reasons given was that he was ‘off his feed’ three times and faced unsuitable ground the other time.
A repeat of his Dundalk form should see him go two for two.
On his best form, Make A Challenge would be tough to beat. However, he has been slightly below his best on both starts this season when third at Cork over 6f and 4th at Naas over 5f, both at Listed level. Back To Brussels has a half length to make up with Harry’s Bar on her run behind him in third here last month when both were behind Mooneista but she was rattling home that day (Make A Challenge was fourth).
She has only won twice, on her debut as a juvenile (yielding) and a Median Auction Race at Cork (heavy) last season. She is only four and last time suggested that she could improve a little this season, particularly when getting easy ground. Rain would improve her chance and she should be a decent price.
Contarelli Chapel is a Caravaggio filly (four winners from 10 runners to date). She is half sister to the likes of Fancy Blue, who was 2-2 as a juvenile and was a dual Group 1 winner as a three-year-old (trained by Donnacha O’Brien).
Contarelli Chapel bolted up on debut at Naas last month over 6f and easily accounting for Juncture (well backed newcomer for Ger Lyons) and Freedom Of Speech who won next time and re-opposes again. She won by 5.5l and was a little green when coming under pressure, so she should improve.
Quick Suzy was impressive at the Curragh last time after a promising debut, but if Contarelli Chapel can build on her debut effort, that would make her tough to beat.
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Aidan O’Brien has won three of the last four renewals with So Perfect, Sioux Nation and Caravaggio. Lipizzaner is his first string and could start favourite. He needs to build on his third behind Measure Of Magic at Navan over 5.5f.
A Case Of You was very well backed for the 2,000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown but was disappointing. He had bolted up in his two previous starts, both over 6f. That included beating Lipizzaner in a Curragh Group 3 on soft ground.
Laws of Indices stepped forward massively for his debut last season, winning his maiden on his second start, before beating Lucky Vega in a Curragh Group 2 over 6f on his third start. He wasn’t disgraced in three subsequent starts, all in Group 1 company.
He was beaten less than three lengths in the Leopardstown 2,000 Guineas trial, where he had a penalty. He has the 3lb penalty now also but he will step forward from debut and could easily be a fair price to have a few bob on each way.
Fiscal Rules was very disappointing last time at Cork over 7f in a Group 3. He was weakening anyway when getting checked. He had run really well on reappearance at Cork over 6f when second to Laugh A Minute and that trip should have been far too sharp, considering he was running at a mile and 10f last season.
You have to forgive him for that run and while he has a bit to find with the likes of Njord on ratings, he can rate higher than a mark of 102. Fiscal Rules’ trainer Jim Bolger remains in great form with seven winners from last 34 runners for a strike rate of 21 per cent.