The 5yo mare EMERALD FOX is a solid contender on her recent 1m form, including a comfortable win here 11 days ago, and gives the impression that she’ll prove as effective back at 1m2f. Second choice is a similar type in Lady Morpheus, who has also been running well over 1m. Gold Standard, Yagood and Arabescato are also on the shortlist.
Even if this is steadily run PLANTADREAM should be able to use his 1m speed and pounce in the latter stages under Jamie Spencer. He ran well in a higher grade here last time and is taken to collar likely pace-dictator Yes My Boy, who in turn can reverse Wolverhampton placings with Kryptos on today’s better terms. Fantasy Believer and Sha La La La Lee strictly have something to prove back at 1m2f, while Pactolus has a doubt over his current form.
This is hardly overloaded with pace, with Bowling Russian perhaps most likely to take them along. Longstanding maiden Vandad found the drop to 5f against him when going off favourite for a similar race a fortnight ago and he’s capable down another 2lb, but the blinkers have helped NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND and he’s well up to winning off this mark if they go a sensible gallop and he settles.
Keane’s Kingdom was well backed for a Kempton novice last time and is the only one in here open to improvement now upped in trip again in first-time headgear. Strong support for him would give things a different slant but otherwise BALLYDOYLE proved this trip within range over C&D behind a progressive winner last time and is fancied to turn things round with Lyrica’s Lion. Aleatoric, whose yard is a pleasing 5-22 with older horses on the AW this year, is another to consider.
The handicapper has had his say for Bedford Flyer’s runaway Newcastle win from the front, putting him up 11lb, and he’ll need a good break from stall 7 if he’s to lead again. Black Sparrow should do better back down in trip on Polytrack but NELSON GAY (nap) looks the one to be on, back from a break having been gelded.
A half-brother to seven winners, notably Namibian and the yard’s Domino Darling, who won on her 2yo debut over this trip, ALTO VOLANTE looks to have been found the ideal starting point. Mummy’s Boy, whose yard has done well with juveniles on the AW this year, is the pick of those to have run after a decent Kempton debut a fortnight ago.
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Ralph Beckett continues in flying form, with ten winners from his last 19 runners, including five 2yos (from ten starters) and SPY LEGEND, who never looked happy in the mud when starting favourite on his debut last month, can add to the tally. Newcomer Jack Of Trades is another likely looking type for a yard that’s done particularly well with 2yos this season.
Blue Dawn still has potential and the stiffer test should suit on pedigree, but she’s pulled hard all four starts to date over 6f and a lot will hinge on how she settles in the first-time hood. Revolutionary Man will be happier back on Polytrack, but SAUCY ENCORE has fewer convictions than most and the return to 1m should suit down another 3lb.
The Racing Post’s tips at Lingfield on Wednesday
* All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widget, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
- 6 slick picks at Wetherby on Wednesday
- Here’s 8 on a plate at Kempton for Wednesday night
- Timeform’s 3 for glee at Lingfield on Wednesday