Betting on the Premier League is underway for another season and here at Paddy Power we’re always looking to help match punters to their best bets!
From Power Prices to live odds, huge accas and player specials, we’ve got something for everyone.
And new for this season is the Paddy Power Mix n’ Match feature!
But where to get started? If you’re looking to bet on the Premier League and want some direction then check out the best markets for the 2024/25 season below.
You’ll learn about Premier League winner betting, wagering on relegation, and see how the odds change when Manchester City are pulled from the market!
Premier League Winner Betting
Paddy’s pre-season odds to win the 2024/25 Premier League (PP)
Let’s start with a simple one. Betting on the Premier League winner is a go-to choice for many punters are the start of the season. It’s become a little predictable of late, with Manchester City (yawn) winning six of the last seven titles.
Will they do it again? Probably. Our football betting odds show City at 13/10 to win the title, and Arsenal at 13/8. To put that into context, we reckon City have a 43.5% chance of lifting the trophy come May. Last season we had them down at 8/11 (57.9%).
City are big favourites but why are the less likely to win this season than last? Well, the loss of Julian Alvarez to Atletico Madrid is one thing. There are also no headline signings on the horizon either.
City are effectively the same as last term, while Arsenal have strengthened. Liverpool’s loss of Jurgen Klopp means they’re something of an unknown quantity at 13/2. After that, Chelsea, Manchester United and Tottenham are all priced at 14/1 or higher. United could challenge City and Arsenal for a bit, but realistically this is a two-horse race.
Betting Without Man City
The Premier League odds without Man City (PP)
Once again we’re running a market without Manchester City in the title race this season. Why? Because City have become so dominant as to warp the top-six battle. Without them, Arsenal are 4/6 favourites to finish above the rest of the league, with Liverpool at 7/2.
Now, the past few years has witnessed just one team really push City for the title. Arsenal did it last term, and Liverpool over the course of a few years before that. In 2024/25 we’re expecting Mikel Arteta to again come close.
But is this market open for a chance bet? Manchester United stuck with Erik ten Haag. They’ve signed Matthijs de Ligt, Joshua Zirkzee, Leny Yoro and Noussair Mazraoui for big fees, and raised +£50m in sales.
Now armed with Jim Ratcliffe’s money, they should fare better than the eight-place finish earned last term. Would it be enough to beat all but City in the division? At 10/1 it’s a possibility.
City are favourites to lift the Premier League trophy again (GETTY)
Premier League Golden Boot Betting
Erling Haaland has won the Premier League golden boot in his two seasons at Manchester City. However, last season he scored nine fewer than his record 36-goal haul of 2022/23. Keep at this rate and the Norwegian would be on for just 18 goals in 2024/25.
Of course, Haaland goal’s per game ratio of 0.87 is still formidable. He is the favourite to win the golden boot again, at 8/11.
To show you just how light the competition is here, Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah is second favourite at 10/1. Let’s face it, Haaland’s scoring more than anyone else again this term.
Winner and Top Goalscorer Double
If we’re to assume Haaland wins the golden boot and City walk the league, then a double on both outcomes makes sense – right? At 2/1 it’s a pretty good price. The only other feasible option is for Arsenal to win the league and Haaland top score, at 7/2.
Haaland effectively guarantees City +25 goals and with it plenty of wins. There’s no other player in the top flight who can do that right now. Not Salah, not Ollie Watkins, not Alexander Isak, not Kai Havertz.
If you’re confident in City winning the league then this double bet becomes an easy choice.
Most Assists Betting
Bet on who will provide the most assists in 2024/25 (PP)
Kevin De Bruyne is the go-to choice when betting on Premier League assists. He’s claimed the most assists in four separate seasons between 2016 and 2024. Last term he recorded 16 – four fewer than his high mark of 20 delivered in 2019/20.
De Bruyne is the favourite again at 9/4 in the Premier League odds. What’s notable is Salah is second favourite – just as he is behind Haaland in the golden boot odds – at 9/1. Is there really not a single other player in the league outside Haaland and De Bruyne who can affect games so regularly?
Apparently not. Although Cole Palmer is set for a standout campaign at Chelsea fresh from signing a contract extension. At 10/1 he’s not a bad shout to earn the most assists, while Son Heung-Min is there at 12/1.
The thing both he and Son lack, though, is a Haaland-shaped teammate to put away all those passes, crosses and through-balls.
Top 4 Betting Odds
Aston Villa upset the big boys last season when finishing fourth to secure a Champions League spot. They did what Newcastle couldn’t and sustain a genuine charge on the top four. This season it’s unlikely that Villa – now dealing with European football too – will sustain the momentum.
If we assume City are guaranteed a top-four spot, then the focus turns on the remaining three places. Arsenal are incredibly short at 1/10, so we can probably assume they’re safe. But what about Liverpool at 8/15 under a new manager Arne Slot, and Chelsea under Enzo Maresca? It’s hard to know what to expect from either side.
Tottenham and Manchester United (both 13/8) look like better options. At least there is some consistency from last term, even if those campaigns were frustrating for supporters. As for Newcastle, they still can’t be relied upon to challenge for the top four yet, despite their money in the bank.
EPL Relegation Betting
Last season the three teams that came up went straight back down again. It was the first time this had happened in Premier League history and exposed the growing financial chasm between the EPL and the Football League. This term we have Leicester and Southampton back in the top flight, both determined to scrap for survival. Ipswich are the freshest faces here but aren’t favourites for the drop.
Leicester are favourites to be relegated this season (PP)
That tag rests on Leicester, who at 4/9 head into the Premier League season with a new manager following Maresca’s move to Chelsea. Ipswich and Saints make up the three most likely teams to be relegated, while Nottingham Forest are fourth at 9/4.
There will always be another candidate for the drop. Everton survived last term but their problems haven’t gone away. They’re 5/2 to go down in their last season at Goodsion. Wolves and Brentford may also endure tricky campaigns, while Crystal Palace like to flirt with relegation every season or two.
Don’t be surprised, though, if all three teams that came up sink back down come May.
Premier League Live Betting Tips
Here are some quick football tips to get you started when you’re live betting on the Premier League:
- Goals – There’s an average 3.28 goals scored per game in the Premier League last season. So you can take a +2.5 goals mark as your benchmark for the campaign.
- Corners – Premier League games feature 10.27 corners. To be safe, bank on teams earning +7.5 corners. Here’s a guide to corners betting.
- Yellows and Reds – The combined number of yellow and red cards in Premier League games last season was 4.50, which is much higher than previous season. Bookings are worth betting on in one-sided games.
- HT score betting – Did you know the most common half-time score in the Premier League is 1-0 to the home team? Well, you do now. It’s a strong best especially when the hosts are favourites.
- Goal periods – More goals are scored in the second half of football games than the first. But were you aware that 16.8% of goals are scored between the 81st and 90th minutes? That’s more than any over 10-minute period in the game. It’s always worth considering betting on a late goal, even if the game is effectively over by then.
- Ignore 0-0s – Only 3% of games in the Premier League last season ended 0-0. Bring on the goals!
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