Golf Tips: Our tasty 6/1 USPGA Championship treble on Sunday

Golf Tips

Tommy Fleetwood to beat Justin Suh
Bryson Dechambeau to beat Corey Conners
Brooks Koepka to beat Viktor Hovland

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We’ve reached the 54 hole stage of the PGA Championship and it’s all to play for as our pre event pick Brooks Koepka sits at the top of the leaderboard while another of our selections Justin Rose lurks four back in fifth place.

On a day where the players battled incessant rain Koepka produced a scintillating low round of the day 66 to post a 6 under total and a one shot lead heading in to Sunday.

First from tee to green in round three, third in approach play and 12th in putting all aspects of the four time Major Champions game were firing and if he can produce something similar today he will almost certainly be going home with the trophy.

The question re Koepka has to be whether the recent disappointment of Augusta or the poor final round 74 at Kiawah Island in 2021 which allowed Phil Mickelson to shock the golfing world, have left scar tissue.

Clearly not fully fit though at Kiawah the Koepka we are seeing this week appears to be the Koepka of old and having dusted off the Major contention rust at Augusta I expect him to go on and bag his fifth Major today.

Alongside Koepka will be Viktor Hovland who starts on 5 under. A hugely talented player there is no doubt the Norwegian will go on to win at this level however having shot 74 both in the final group at St Andrews last summer and again when in the mix at Augusta he is yet to prove himself in this situation. It is quite possible of course that today is the day it all clicks, however he is certainly not the type of character to intimidate Koepka.

Equally Corey Conners who also starts one back in the penultimate group is unproven at this level and having surrendered the lead with a double bogey on 16 yesterday I have a hard time picturing him coming through to take the trophy today.

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Not inclined to hedge any of our bet on Koepka then with a ‘win only’ bet on his closest challengers, I will also skip past Bryson Dechambeau who starts on 3 under and risk an each way play on Scottie Scheffler who starts alongside Rose on 2 under.

Scheffler surprisingly struggled to a 75 on Saturday with his putter the main culprit however having steadied the ship on the back nine I expect him to bounce back today.

If Koepka posts anything under par it will be tough for those starting on 3 under or worse to catch him however if those at the top do struggle Scheffler could easily take advantage and with the each way safety net of three places I am happy to bring him on side.

Looking now at today’s two ball pairings and the first one to catch my eye is Tommy Fleetwood who tees off at 1.50pm local time alongside Justin Suh.

Fleetwood can be a tough man to follow on Sundays however he is far enough back here that he can’t be considered a serious trophy contender and with his game trending nicely at the moment I can see him building on the momentum of Saturday’s 68 and producing a strong finish from off the pace today as he has done in the past at Majors.

Suh is certainly ‘one for the future’ but with this being a new situation for him he struggled on Saturday to a 73 and I expect Fleetwood to have too much for him today.

Next up I will take Bryson Dechambeau at odds against versus Corey Conners when they tee off at 2.20pm local Time.

After taking the round one lead I have been impressed by how Dechambeau has stuck around over the past couple of days despite having been out of this type of pressure cooker situation for some time.

A level par 70 on Saturday has kept him right in the mix and while his game doesn’t quite seem to be back to where it needs to be for him to win this I expect him to hang tough today. Conners has certainly been the steadier of the two but I expect his putting frailties could show themselves under the final round pressure today and I am happy enough to chance Dechambeau here who is ultimately the better player.

Finally I will finish our treble by taking Brooks Koepka to see off Viktor Hovland in the final two ball when they tee off at 2.30pm local time.

If Koepka does get the job done today as I suspect he will, then the only scenario where he doesn’t win this match up is if he pips Hovland to the trophy by one shot. My thought is though that if Koepka gets the bit between his teeth and things don’t go right for Hovland early on it could be a tough Sunday for the Norwegian and I am happy to nail my colours to the mast with Koepka here.