GAA Tips: Matty Forde’s National League Football Finals Best Bets

The Wexford legend gives us his predictions for all four finals this weekend.

GAA Betting Tips

Saturday
Sligo v Wicklow –Sligo To Win By 1-3 Points
Cavan v Fermanagh – Cavan To Win & Paddy Lynch 1st Goalscorer

Sunday
Dublin v Derry – Dublin To Win & Con O’Callaghan 1st Goalscorer
Galway v Mayo – Mayo To Win & Ryan O’Donoghue 1st Goalscorer

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

Sligo v Wicklow

TV: TG4, Saturday 5pm

Sligo To Win By 1-3 Points

Wicklow have slipped in a little under the radar, they really snuck up from the outside over the last couple of weeks and pipped Laois. I’m sure Laois really rue that defeat down in Aughrim a couple of weeks back. It’s an intriguing games, Sligo won the earlier group games quite convincingly by six points up in Sligo but I think this one will be tighter. 

I’d have to fancy Sligo though, their scoring differences are slightly better, their scores and their scores conceded are both slightly better and Wicklow had a strange match last time out when none of their forwards scored from play during their recent win over Waterford. That would have to be a little concerning. 

It’s a big day for both teams, heading to Croke Park but I think Sligo will edge it by a few points. I really don’t see a lot being in the difference but I think Sligo will do it so I’m backing them to win by 1-3 points.

Cavan v Fermanagh

TV: TG4, Saturday 7pm 

Cavan To Win & Paddy Lynch 1st Goalscorer

Fermanagh are probably the unfancied team here in the Division 3 Final. Most people would probably have picked either Westmeath or Down to be going up along with Cavan. This is going to be a tough one. Fermanagh beat Cavan last weekend but it was a game that Cavan didn’t have to win and I think this is probably the ideal scenario for Cavan, having lost to them last weekend it’s a little bit of a stick for Micky Graham to beat them with and to motivate them with too. 

Ciaran Donnelly has done an amazing job at Fermanagh but I just think they’re going to come up a little bit short on Saturday night. Cavan’s scoring record throughout the league has been pretty impressive and you have to remember that Fermanagh have conceded 11 goals which is quite concerning too. Like the first game I don’t think there’ll be much into but I’d have Cavan shading it by a point or two. 

Cavan have only scored eight goals throughout the league this season but I like Paddy Lynch here, he’s hit the back of the net a few times over the course of the campaign so I’d put him as First Goalscorer and have Cavan to Win.

Dublin v Derry

TV: TG4, Sunday 1:45pm

Dublin To Win & Con O’Callaghan 1st Goalscorer

Dublin look finally to be at their strongest so far this year. I think that game in Derry will have crowned them, it’s the first kind of opposition they’ve come up against like that this year and were given a real test. I really think that game will have brought them on a hell of a lot. They dispatched Louth easily enough last weekend too, as you’d expect. I’d picked Dublin at the start of the year as one of the four teams, along with Mayo, Cavan and Sligo.

I think home advantage will make a big difference here and it looks like they’re going to have their strongest team of the year out for them too so I’d have to side with Dublin against Derry here. 

Just taking into account the size of Croke Park I think we’ll definitely see a few goals here. Both teams have scored plenty of goals over the season; Derry’s have come from literally all over the field, Shane McGuigan, Niall Toner and Niall Loughlin have all been scoring. But for me, I like the look of Con O’Callaghan to score the first goal here. He seems to be playing a little further out the field, so instead of having his back to goal he’s actually running towards the goal a lot. Dublin have so many threats all over the place but I think we’ll see O’Callaghan getting the first goals here.

Galway v Mayo

TV: TG4, Sunday 4pm

Mayo To Win & Ryan O’Donoghue 1st Goalscorer

This should be a great final between two old rivals and of course, they’re very likely to meet again in a few week’s time in the provincial championship. You’d have to ask, are Mayo going to have one eye on the first round of the championship going up against Roscommon coming into this, or will they be fully concentrated on winning the final. It’s a little different for Galway, they’ll have three or four weeks off between when they play next so they can certainly have a crack at it here. 

I think it’s really going to be a cracking game. I know I tipped up Mayo as an each-way bet back at the start of the season so I’m going to stick with them. I think they have an array of attacking talent, maybe it’s not more than what Galway have but Mayo only know how to play football one way and that’s to go all out to win and I think they’ll edge what should be a close final. 

I’ll be backing Ryan O’Donoghue here as the first goalscorer, as the penalty taker and free kick taker, he makes sense here, especially as he’s hit the back of the net on a few occasions already this season for Mayo. 

National League Finals Betting Tips

Saturday
Sligo v Wicklow – Sligo To Win By 1-3 Points
Cavan v Fermanagh – Cavan To Win & Paddy Lynch 1st Goalscorer

Sunday
Dublin v Derry – Dublin To Win & Con O’Callaghan 1st Goalscorer
Galway v Mayo – Mayo To Win & Ryan O’Donoghue 1st Goalscorer

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

READ MORE

THE LATEST GAA ODDS ARE ON PADDYPOWER.COM RIGHT NOW

THE PADDY POWER GUIDE TO SAFER GAMBLING – EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW

What do you think?