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No doubt this is the biggest game of the weekend as Galway and Mayo go to war for the Connacht title. When the sides met in the National League – on the 18th of October – Mayo scored 3-23 and beat Galway off the pitch, so it’s hard to see why this is such a tight betting game. Since then, Galway were beaten by Dublin in the League. Meanwhile, Mayo have scored wins away to Leitrim and Roscommon, respectively, in the Connacht Championship.
James Horan’s men have the benefit of those two extra Championship matches over Galway coming into this game, after The Tribesmen lost out on a game when they were handed a walkover by Sligo due to Covid-19 issues. Mayo should be even hotter favourites than they are leading into this and for me, it’s Mayo all the way in this Connacht final.
Both of these teams seem to have taken advantage of the weaker side of the draw in the Ulster Championship to progress to the last four. Cavan just beat Monaghan in extra time and struggled for long periods against Antrim last time out, whereas Down come into this on the back of a comprehensive win over Fermanagh.
The Mouremen look to be one of the coming teams in Ulster, they also have a bit more pace and a better attack than Cavan. I reckon they are a tasty bet to win and advance to the Ulster final here,
You only have to look at the betting for this game to see how one-sided Paddy has this one and in truth, it’s a fair shout. You just couldn’t imagine Laois winning against Dublin at Croke Park, they just don’t have a chance really.
Given the prices, the handicap betting is the place to go for value here. There’s a (+15) handicap available here, the same one I tipped up for Westmeath against Dublin last weekend and that came in, so I fancy the history to repeat itself.
The Dubs are only interested in getting into the Leinster final and I don’t believe they’re that pushed about giving anyone a hiding along the way. There are also tough weather conditions forecast and it will be hard to make up a 15-point deficit on a bad day, so go with Laois (+15) in this one.
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