Kerry (+6) – 10/11
Five of the last nine All-Ireland football finals have been won by a single point, and do not forget we needed a replay in 2016, so this year’s decider could be much closer than the betting suggests.
Because of that, Kerry look terrific value to keep within a six-point handicap, in fact, you have to rewind 12 years to 2007 to find the last All-Ireland final to be won by more than six points.
When you factor in the intense pressure Dublin face as they bid to become the first ever team to win five-in-a-row, this game could take on a life of its own.
Under 42.5 points – 5/6
Dublin and Kerry might both possess a superb set of forwards but, even allowing for the calibre of attacking talent on show, the total points spread looks much too high at 42.5.
The highest scoring final in recent times was Kerry’s 4-15 to 3-5 victory over Mayo in 2006 and no final this decade has seen more than 40 points scored.
Don’t expect that to change anything on Sunday.
John Small anytime scorer – 7/4
John Small was Man of the Match in the drawn All-Ireland final in 2016 against Mayo and he has proved time and time again that he was excels on the big stage.
He didn’t get on the scoresheet against Mayo in the semi-final this year, but he had two good chances of doing so and was also hauled to the ground when about to pull the trigger 25 yards out in the first half.
Given his ability to sneak forward into scoring positions, Small looks good value to score a point at 7/4.
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