World Cup Tips: 3 fine flutters for Poland v Saudi Arabia with an 11/1 shot

Our tipster Colin Harvey wonders if Saudi can pull off another shock.

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Short-Priced Punt: Poland to Win
Value Play: Robert Lewandowski to Score First
Long Shot: Poland Score in Each Half & Poland 3+ Corners Each Half

Saturday 1pm: Poland v Saudi Arabia
TV: ITV, RTE

Short-Priced Punt: Poland to Win

Saudi Arabia stunned the world with their amazing comeback win over Argentina on Tuesday, but surely they can’t repeat that trick against this wily Poland side? A win would see them into the last 16 which would be an incredible feat for the expected Group C whipping boys.

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Let’s dig down into the cold-hard facts of that match though, and the Saudis had a grand total of two shots against Lionel Messi and co, picking up three times the number of yellow cards in the process. It was an amazing match but you have to think this grizzled Poland outfit won’t buckle under the pressure.

There will be boisterous Saudi support from the stands and you can bet they’ll be putting their bodies on the line once again in the hope of another upset. But, in reality, this is a match Poland should Win with relative ease.

Value Play: Robert Lewandowski to Score First

Almost as amazing as that Argentina match is the fact that Robert Lewandowski is still to register a single goal at a World Cup. And, after his penalty miss against Mexico in their 0-0 draw on Tuesday, the 34-year-old might not get a better chance with Argentina up on matchday three.

He’ll be desperate to make amends, is still on spot kicks, and will be the classiest player on the pitch by some distance on Saturday. It remains to be seen how much the Saudis’ first game has taken out of them, but it won’t take much for the Barcelona hitman to pounce on any sloppiness. It feels like there’s value in backing Lewandowski to Score First.

Long Shot: Poland Score in Each Half & Poland 3+ Corners Each Half

In amongst all the Saudi hype it’s important to remember that Poland actually really, really need to win here if they’re to get out of the group, especially with Argentina next up. They were pretty turgid against the Mexicans and, while nobody’s expecting free-flowing attacking football from the Poles, I think they might be looking to use the Saudi enthusiasm against them and invite some pressure before hitting on the break.

Failing that, they’ll have the lion’s share of possession and knock it about probing for runs from deep and aim to seek out the knackered defender who’s lost their man. Either way, for a #WhatOddsPaddy long shot that’s over 10s, Poland to Score in Each Half & Poland 3+ Corners Each Half has decent appeal.

Poland v Saudi Arabia Betting Tips

Short-Priced Punt: Poland to Win
Value Play: Robert Lewandowski to Score First
Long Shot: Poland Score in Each Half & Poland 3+ Corners Each Half

All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

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What do you think?