After last Friday’s addition of an evening Premier League kick-off, the midweek Carabao Cup fixtures mean we return this week with a Championship clash as Carlos Corberán’s Baggies head to Kenilworth Road.
So, if you have no plans to kick off your bonfire weekend, Luton v West Brom will provide the perfect firework starter to prepare you for another end-of-week football platter.
Our tipster, James O’Rourke, has painstakingly pondered over Paddy’s markets for this game and has baked a Bet Builder to prepare you for a footballing weekend that will set the sky alight.
Luton v West Brom Tips
Luton over 1.5 cards
Luton over 4.5 corners
Both teams to score, yes
Elijah Adebayo to have 1+ shots on target
Victor Moses to commit 1+ fouls
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 8/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
WHEN: Friday, 1st of November, 8pm
WHERE: Kenilworth Road, Luton
TV: Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Football
Luton over 1.5 cards
Frustrations are undoubtedly high in the Luton camp at present. Last time out, they lost 3-2 at Coventry, one of the low points of their campaign, having squandered a 2-0 half-time lead.
They sit inside the Championship relegation zone and are almost reaching the point of desperation in their desire to turn their season around.
The fans’ pressure on Rob Edwards has certainly increased recently, making every game seem vital for them.
Such frustrations will likely spill over into their performances, probably in the form of committing fouls and receiving cards. This has specifically been a winning bet in five of their previous six games, during which they’ve had two red cards issued.
Although beating local rivals Watford was the high point of their campaign, this has been their only triumph over the last six. Four losses in that time reflect where they are right now, and they need to discover some consistency to boost their fortunes.
The Hatters are ranked fourth in the Championship for average fouls committed per match this season.
Luton over 4.5 corners
Luton boss Rob Edwards has returned to basics to arrest the Hatters’ poor run of form. Having adapted their style in the Premier League last season from the methods that ultimately got them there, they will look to move the ball forward much quicker.
This, in turn, will put the opposition under some uncomfortable pressure. However, Town still need to prove they can handle threats from their opponents, too.
Still, it should at least mean that offensively, they’ll threaten the goal more regularly. After all, they’ve netted two or more goals for three games running. Playing with a wing-back system naturally boosts the chances of corners, knowing balls will frequently be flashed into the box from wide areas.
Luton are ranked only second to Sheffield Wednesday in this league based on the average number of corners earned per game. They are averaging 6.74 corners per match, and over their previous two at home, they have recorded 10 and 11 corners versus Sunderland and Watford, respectively.
Both teams to score, yes
The presence of Luton in any football game is enough of an assumption to believe both teams to score has a strong probability. This team has conceded two or more goals in five of their previous six and have only once failed to score in seven.
Taking their chances has been one notable issue for Edwards’ side this season, given that their xG is ranked fourth, which somewhat belittles their actual league placing of 22nd.
However, as mentioned, the goals are at least starting to arrive, but that isn’t to say they’ve improved defensively. Countless injuries in this area are certainly hampering them.
Both teams have scored in seven of Luton’s 12 Championship fixtures this season. Although only four of West Brom’s have done so, it is worth noting that all four occasions were in away encounters.
They’re on a six-match winless run, although each of the last four have been draws. They will have an appetite to win this, particularly when facing a struggling opponent. Each team will have that view, raising prospects of chances at either end over the 90 minutes.
Elijah Adebayo to have 1+ shots on target
It has been a funny old season for the former Walsall striker. After 11 appearances in 2024/25, he did everything but score. This led to calls from supporters for him to be dropped; however, his manager resisted and backed his centre forward. Rob Edwards’ patience has been rewarded, as Adebayo has now scored in back-to-back games.
He has been a consistent goal threat this season, and the goals are starting to flow. Only on four occasions has he failed to have a shot on target in a match, while in five encounters, Adebayo has recorded two or more shots on target.
That has also been the case in two successive games. This player could easily extend his scoring run, but it is safer to stick with this particular market.
Carlton Morris may be Luton’s top scorer this season, yet Adebayo is far and away their biggest goal threat concerning xG across the squad. He will admit that poor finishing is a reason for this, but we can’t back against him now!
Victor Moses to commit 1+ fouls
A few months ago, Victor Moses was a free agent, wondering what would come next. Fast forward to now, and the 33-year-old has established himself as a regular starter in the Luton side. The versatile player is on a five-match run of consecutive starts and has played the full 90 on each occasion.
In this five-game sequence, the former Chelsea and Liverpool man has committed a foul in four. It would be fair that he is mainly associated with what he can offer offensively despite still having defensive responsibilities. This could be an area West Brom specifically target to try and get some joy on the night.
Luton v West Brom Tips
Luton over 1.5 cards
Luton over 4.5 corners
Both teams to score, yes
Elijah Adebayo to have 1+ shots on target
Victor Moses to commit 1+ fouls
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 8/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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