Sunday evening’s huge FA Cup clash sees Aston Villa host Tottenham for a place in the fifth round.
Top social tipster Andy Robson is back to deliver his verdict and he’s got five picks in here. A few of them are covered by Paddy’s Super Sub offer, meaning if your man is substituted, the pick carries over to his replacement.
Let’s get the big man’s Aston Villa v Tottenham betting tips.
Aston Villa v Tottenham Bet Builder tips
Ollie Watkins 1+ shots on target
John McGinn 2+ fouls won
Pedro Porro 1+ fouls won
Over 2.5 goals
Aston Villa goalkeeper 2+ saves
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 5/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
WHEN: Sunday, 9th of Febraury, 5:35pm
WHERE: Villa Park, Aston
TV: BBC One
Further Bet Builder stats are available on Andy’s Opta-powered Bet Builder stats tool, which is free to use on his website, Andy’s Bet Club. Expert insight on the Premier League can be found specifically on our Premier League predictions page. The Champions League, EFL, SPFL, and major European leagues can be found in the football betting predictions section.
Ollie Watkins 1+ shots on target
Ollie Watkins has had 28 shots on target across his 24 Premier League appearances this season (1.53 per 90). The 29-year-old has become invaluable to Unai Emery with the departure of Jhon Duran to Saudi Arabia which has left Aston Villa a little light in the striker department.
He’s been finding the target quite frequently in recent weeks with at least 1 shot on target in 4 of his last 5 appearances with the exception coming against Wolves last time out, where he was only on the pitch for 45 minutes. In that particular encounter, Watkins’ replacement in Donyell Malen found the target, rendering this selection a winner with Super Sub.
Watkins had 2 shots in the league meeting between these sides but was unable to find the target, he should be able to go one better here and really get at a Tottenham backline that will be low on confidence following a 4-0 defeat to Liverpool last time out.
John McGinn 2+ fouls won
One of John McGinn’s key strengths is how he shields the ball, he’s really effective at drawing fouls from the opposition due to this style of play which invites challenges as evidenced by the fact he’s won 41 fouls across his 20 Premier League appearances this season (2.70 per 90).
McGinn was at the centre of what was a real battle in the league meeting between these sides in North London. The 30-year-old committed 2 fouls himself and was fouled twice, showing how involved he can get in the uglier parts of the game with his role in this Aston Villa side.
John McGinn was fouled 3 times in Aston Villa’s 2-0 defeat to Wolves last time out, Unai Emery has managed his minutes since returning from injury but he should be fit to start here and register a similar number of duels and foul involvements as he did when these sides met earlier in the season.
Pedro Porro to be fouled 1+ times
Pedro Porro is given licence to push right up the pitch, despite being a full back in a back 4 that is depleted due to injury. This role has seen him win 21 fouls across his 24 Premier League appearances this season (0.95 per 90).
Porro has been fouled at least once in 4 of his last 5 Premier League appearances, further evidencing how this role directly leads to him drawing fouls. He’ll be up against a duo of Jacob Ramsey and Lucas Digne who are averaging 1.58 fouls committed per 90 between them in the Premier League this campaign.
Porro contested 5 duels and was fouled once in the league meeting between these sides in North London earlier in the season and can post similar numbers here with Ange Postecoglou showing no signs of limiting the full back on his runs forward.
Over 2.5 goals
Neither of these backlines will be confident looking at the last few weeks. Aston Villa are without a clean sheet across their last 5 games across all competitions managing to win just 1 of these games whilst Tottenham enter this game on the back of a bruising 4-0 defeat to Liverpool in which their performance was quite alarming.
The meeting between these sides in the Premier League in North London earlier in the season produced 5 goals in a 4-1 Tottenham win. Both sides posted an xG in excess of 1.0 and there were 7 big chances in the game, highlighting how vulnerable both of these backlines can be.
Tottenham have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 games across all competitions and we can see that trend continuing here with neither side particularly convincing in keeping the opposition at bay this season, especially in recent weeks.
Aston Villa GK 2+ saves
Despite the criticism levelled at Tottenham for their defensive disorganisation this season, they continue to rank quite well in numerous attacking metrics including shots on target. Tottenham are averaging 5.4 shots on target per game in the Premier League this season, only 4 sides are averaging more in the Premier League this campaign.
Tottenham have drawn 2+ saves from the opposition goalkeeper in 20 of their 24 Premier League games this season (83%) , a record that includes drawing 2 saves from Martinez in their 4-1 victory over Aston Villa in North London earlier in the campaign.
Martinez has been forced into making 2+ saves in 20 of his 24 Premier League games this season (83%) with the Argentine averaging 2.64 saves per 90 in the competition.
Aston Villa v Tottenham Bet Builder tips
Ollie Watkins 1+ shots on target
John McGinn 2+ fouls won
Pedro Porro 1+ fouls won
Over 2.5 goals
Aston Villa goalkeeper 2+ saves
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 5/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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