Sunday evening’s huge Premier League clash sees the apprentice taking on his old master when Arsenal host Manchester City.
Top social tipster Andy Robson thinks it could be a scrappy old game at The Emirates. He’s got four player picks in here, too, all of which are covered by Paddy’s Super Sub offer, meaning if your man is substituted, the pick carries over to his replacement.
Let’s get the big man’s Arsenal v Man City betting tips.
Arsenal v Man City Bet Builder tips
Erling Haaland 1+ shots on target
Mateo Kovacic 1+ fouls committed
Myles Lewis-Skelly 2+ fouls won
Declan Rice 1+ fouls committed
Arsenal goalkeeper to make 2+ saves
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 6/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
WHEN: Sunday, 2nd of Febraury, 4:30pm
WHERE: The Emirates Stadium, London
TV: Sky Sports Main Event/Premier League
Further Bet Builder stats are available on Andy’s Opta-powered Bet Builder stats tool, which is free to use on his website, Andy’s Bet Club. Expert insight on the Premier League can be found specifically on our Premier League predictions page. The Champions League, EFL, SPFL, and major European leagues can be found in the football betting predictions section.
Erling Haaland to have 1+ Shots on Target
Erling Haaland has had 52 shots on target across his 23 Premier League appearances this season (2.30 per 90), resulting in 18 goals for the 24-year-old. He’s found the target at least once in each of his last 5 Premier League appearances, coming away with 5 goals across these matches.
Haaland had 5 shots on target in the initial meeting between these sides at the Etihad Stadium earlier in the season, finding the back of the net with the first of these attempts on goal after just 9 minutes.
Haaland has scored 11 more goals than Manchester City’s second top goalscorer in Phil Foden this campaign, he leads the squad in this metric and has had more shots on target than any other player in the Premier League this season making him more than likely to find the target at least once here.
Mateo Kovacic to Commit 1+ Fouls
Mateo Kovacic has been a big part of Man City’s return to some form of consistency over the last few weeks, his absence was felt heavily with Pep Guardiola’s side succumbing to counter attacks and fast transitions, with Gundogan unable to cover the space and offer the defensive protection of Kovacic or Rodri.
Part of his role is committing tactical fouls to stop the opposition breaking quickly when Man City lose the ball and are a bit light at the back. He’s averaging 1.11 fouls committed per 90 across his 19 Premier League appearances this season, reflecting the role he’s being asked to do – only Matheus Nunes is averaging more fouls per 90 for Man City this season, whilst no player in the squad has collected more cards than Kovacic (5).
It was actually in this fixture that City lost Rodri to injury after just 21 minutes, his absence was felt instantly with Arsenal managing to get much more joy in the transition and come away with a 2-2 draw. Kovacic came off the bench for Pep Guardiola’s side and committed 2 fouls then. He’ll be up against Martin Odegaard who is averaging 1.05 fouls won per 90 across his 15 Premier League appearances this season.
Myles Lewis-Skelly to be Fouled 2+ Times
Myles Lewis-Skelly has really impressed since stepping into the Arsenal starting 11, he’s won 15 fouls across his 9 Premier League appearances this season – just 6 of these have been starts, taking his average to 2.91 fouls won per 90.
The physical strength and ability to shield the ball in pressure situations that Lewis-Skelly possesses are rare for his age. These traits have made his transition to the top level quite seamless, young players usually struggle with the physical aspect of the Premier League the most but Lewis-Skelly is an exception, it is also these traits that inform his positive fouls won record this season.
He was fouled 3 times in Arsenal’s 1-0 win over Wolves last time out, this was despite being sent off after just 43 minutes in controversial circumstances, further emphasising how efficient he can be at winning fouls – this red card has now been rescinded and Lewis-Skelly is expected to start here.
Declan Rice to Commit 1+ Fouls
Declan Rice has been consistent in Arsenal’s midfield this season, he’s committed 15 fouls across his 21 Premier League appearances (0.82 per 90) – a total we can expect to rise against Man City’s midfield.
Rice committed 1 foul and was shown a yellow card in the initial meeting between the sides back at the start of the campaign, he was playing in a midfield 2 with Thomas Partey with Arsenal without the creativity of Martin Odegaard on that occasion. He should have a slightly different role here with the Arsenal captain now back to full fitness.
He’ll be up against Phil Foden who has been looking more like the player that won the Premier League POTY last season in recent weeks, he’s averaging 1.67 fouls won per 90 across his 18 Premier League appearances this season.
Arsenal GK to Make 2+ Saves
Man City are averaging 6.1 shots on target per game in the Premier League this season, only Chelsea (6.2) and Liverpool (6.9) are bettering them in this metric in the top division. This suggests that City’s attacking play hasn’t been all that affected by their drop off this season, it is more their defence and susceptibility to counter attacks that has cost them.
Man City have drawn 2+ saves from the opposition goalkeeper in 22 of their 23 Premier League matches this season, the exception coming against Ipswich at home which was a game that City had wrapped up in the first half and just controlled it from there.
Man City drew 9 saves from David Raya in the initial meeting between the sides making this line of just 2 saves required from the Arsenal keeper a solid choice when considering their attacking record this season.
Arsenal v Man City betting tips
Erling Haaland 1+ shots on target
Mateo Kovacic 1+ fouls committed
Myles Lewis-Skelly 2+ fouls won
Declan Rice 1+ fouls committed
Arsenal goalkeeper to make 2+ saves
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 6/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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