The Premier League fixture computer’s given up one more tasty morsel in Man United v Newcastle before we turn over to 2025.
Our footy tipster, Shane O’Brien, has put together a Bet Builder fit to bring the curtain down on the year’s football. We should mention, too, that one of Shane’s picks is covered by Paddy’s Super Sub offer too, meaning if the player is substituted, the pick carries over to his replacement.
Man United v Newcastle Bet Builder tips
Both teams to score, yes
Newcastle goalkeeper to make four or more saves
Corner Match Bet: Newcastle
Man United to receive the most cards
Kobbie Mainoo to commit 2+ fouls
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 34/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
WHEN: Monday, 30th December, 8pm
WHERE: Old Trafford, Manchester
TV: Sky Sports Main Event
Both teams to score, yes
Ruben Amorim’s Manchester United tenure has not gotten off to the ideal start, with the Portuguese manager overseeing four defeats in United’s last five league games and five defeats in ten games in all competitions since joining the club.
The hosts have only managed one clean sheet in that ten-game spell, beating Everton 4-0 at the beginning of December. They’ve conceded 19 goals in ten games since Amorim took the reins, while Newcastle have scored 15 goals in their last five league games and 18 in their last six games in all competitions.
There is very little chance of the home side keeping Toon at bay on Monday night, but they should cause some damage at the other end as well.
Newcastle have kept clean sheets in each of their last three games, but they have only managed two away clean sheets all season, which should give United hope of scoring for the first time in three games.
Newcastle goalkeeper to make four or more saves
For all their faults this season, the Red Devils have not been terrible when it comes to getting shots off. Amorim’s side have averaged 13.4 shots per league game this season, which leaves them 12th and roughly translates to their league standings, but they have also averaged five shots on target per game, the seventh-best record in the division.
Newcastle, on the other hand, have faced a fair number of shots this season, averaging 13.1 per game, the ninth-highest in the league. That average also increases slightly when focusing solely on their away matches.
United could cause problems for Martin Dubravka in the Newcastle goal, whether they win the game or not.
Corner Match Bet: Newcastle
Neither Newcastle nor United win a whole lot of corners, with both sides winning less than the league average at this halfway stage of the season. The away side, however, have won significantly more corners than United, winning 104 to United’s 90.
It is hardly surprising, given that Eddie Howe’s side average more shots than United and are generally more dangerous from set pieces than Amorim’s side.
United have struggled on the corner front against elite opponents since Erik Ten Hag left the club at the end of October, facing eight corners during Chelsea’s visit to Old Trafford before facing 13 corners in the defeat at Arsenal and eight corners again when they travelled to Manchester City.
Newcastle should continue that trend at Old Trafford on Monday night.
Man United to receive the most cards
Discipline has been a problem for United this season, as evidenced by Bruno Fernandes’s sending off in the defeat at Wolves on Boxing Day. That was the United captain’s third dismissal of the season, although one of those red cards was later overturned following a post-match review.
Fernandes is by no means the only player to miss out through suspension for United this season, with several players accumulating five yellow cards before the season’s mid-point, Manuel Ugarte being the latest.
United just about edge Newcastle in terms of cards received this season, collecting 42 bookings and two red cards compared to Newcastle’s 38 bookings and one dismissal. They also commit a higher number of fouls than Newcastle.
Newcastle are particularly foul-averse away from home, averaging just 8.6 fouls per game in away league games this season, the second-lowest average in the league.
The hosts, meanwhile, average just over 11 fouls per game in home games this season and are likely to make more fouls on Monday, further strengthening their chances of shading the card battle.
Kobbie Mainoo to commit 2+ fouls
Kobbie Mainoo is one of those United players to have missed out this season after accumulating too many yellow cards. The young midfielder is having a difficult second season after a magnificent breakthrough campaign last year and is clearly struggling to adapt to Amorim’s system.
He is likely to be given the nod on Monday, despite those struggles, with Fernandes and Ugarte missing from Amorim’s midfield options.
Mainoo’s suspension is even more impressive when you consider he did it in just eight appearances after missing a portion of the season through injury, but it is not the biggest surprise in the world considering he averages 1.4 fouls per game this season, the second-highest total in the United squad behind Ugarte.
There is every chance that Mainoo will be drawn into two fouls on Monday night and he is decent value to do so.
Man United v Newcastle betting tips
Both teams to score, yes
Newcastle goalkeeper to make four or more saves
Corner Match Bet: Newcastle
Man United to receive the most cards
Kobbie Mainoo to commit 2+ fouls
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 34/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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