All eyes will be on Villa Park on Sunday as Erik ten Hag faces a huge test against Unai Emery’s in-form team. The Dutch boss is under growing pressure ahead of a crunch final game before the Premier League pauses for the international break.
A 3-3 midweek Europa League draw at Porto has sharpened the focus on Ten Hag as the pressure mounts.
Twitter’s top tipster, Andy Robson dives into the stats and form for both sides to find five value picks for his Bet Builder as the Red Devils head to Birmingham.
Andy’s had a good week of predictions with his Bet Builder for Celtic’s 7-1 hammering at Borussia Dortmund landing at 10/1, so let’s get his thoughts on this contest, here are his Aston Villa v Man United betting tips.
One more thing to add: Andy’s player pick falls under Paddy’s Super Sub promotion, meaning the bet carries over to his replacement should he be replaced.
Aston Villa v Man United tips
Aston Villa to win
Ollie Watkins to have 1+ shots on target
Man Utd to have 4+ shots on target
Man Utd to receive the most cards
Over 4.5 cards
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 11/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
WHEN: Sunday, 6th October, 2pm
WHERE: Villa Park, Birmingham
TV: Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League
- Further Bet Builder stats are available on Andy’s Opta-powered Bet Builder stats tool, free to use on his website, Andy’s Bet Club. Expert insight on the Premier League can be found specifically on our Premier League predictions page, and the SPFL, EFL, and major European leagues can be found in the football betting predictions section.
Aston Villa to win
Unai Emery’s Aston Villa approach their Sunday Premier League clash against Man United coming off their midweek high of beating Bayern Munich at home. Since losing to Arsenal in August, they have picked up three successive victories at Villa Park and will fancy their chances of making it four against an out-of-sorts visiting team.
United have failed to win any of their last four games in all competitions, riding their luck to secure a share of the points against Porto on Thursday – a match in which manager Ten Hag deployed a strong team.
With one day less to rest, and a team struggling for form, it would be little surprise to see the Dutchman’s job come under more scrutiny with defeat in Birmingham.
Ollie Watkins to have 1+ shots on target
Ollie Watkins will have watched the way Samu Omorodion bullied United’s defence on Thursday for Porto and will believe he has the same capacity to trouble them.
The striker has managed at least one shot on target in each of the five Premier League games he has played this season – scoring four goals in his last three – and comes into this game high on confidence.
Taken off with 20 minutes left of the midweek game, he should have ample energy to terrorise the Red Devils.
Man Utd to have 4+ shots on target
One problem Man Utd have not had this season has been getting shots on target. Indeed, Ten Hag’s side have posted 29 in this category – five more than their hosts.
United have had at least five shots on target in five of their last six games across all competitions – with the exception of last weekend’s thumping 3-0 home loss against Tottenham – a match in which they played with a man down for more than half the game.
Converting these efforts into goals has been the major issue: United have scored only 6% of their shots this season compared to Villa’s 13%.
Man Utd to receive the most cards
The Red Devils are excellent value to pick up more cards than their hosts.
Ten Hag’s men rank joint-third in the Premier League for cards received this season with 20. Only Arsenal and Chelsea have seen more. By contrast, Aston Villa are towards the bottom of this particular table with just 13 cards in their six games.
On top of this, the Villains are experts at drawing cards from their opponents. Their opponents have picked up 22 cards this season at a rate of 3.67 per match. Only Newcastle (23) have managed to draw as many cards from their rivals this season, with Man Utd languishing on just 13.
Over 4.5 cards
Rob Jones is the match referee for this encounter, which points to a significant card count. This season, he has dished out 5.75 cards per match on average, with 5.5 of these yellow.
Villa’s last six Premier League and Champions League games have seen at least five cards, with their opponents picking up a minimum of four in all but one of those matches.
Last season, there were nine cards shown across the two fixtures between these two teams, so there is some existing needle. Five of these came in the most recent meeting between them at Villa Park in February.
Aston Villa v Man United Bet Builder tips
Aston Villa to win
Ollie Watkins to have 1+ shots on target
Man Utd to have 4+ shots on target
Man Utd to receive the most cards
Over 4.5 cards
- A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 11/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.
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