Football Tips: Man City to boss Spurs in our 24/1 Sunday Bet Builder

Our tipster Andrew Beasley's crunched the numbers ahead of Sunday's tasty clash.

Comments

Man City v Tottenham Bet Builder Tips

Manchester City -1
Both Teams to Score
Julian Alvarez to Score Anytime
Over 10.5 Corners
Over 3.5 Cards

The latest football odds are on PaddyPower.com now

Sunday 4.30pm: Manchester City v Tottenham
Premier League match at The Etihad
TV: Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League

Manchester City -1

Being underdogs won’t faze Tottenham here as they have a strong record against Manchester City. They have hosted Pep Guardiola’s side five times at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and won every match without conceding a goal.

Obviously Spurs’ history at the Etihad is not as impressive as that. However, they won there in 2022 and were 2-0 up last season before ultimately losing. With a draw in 2019/20, they have four points from their last four visits, a tally only Crystal Palace equal and Manchester United better in that period.

The underlying data is on Tottenham’s side too, believe it or not. In front of their own fans, only in their 6-1 thumping of Bournemouth did City hold an expected goal margin of at least one in their favour, and their xG difference is only the sixth best in the division for home games.

Tottenham hold the same standing in the away table, coincidentally. That isn’t to say they should be favourites, but the numbers suggest their price to win should be a shade under 3/1 with City more like 6/4.

The problem is that Spurs’ treatment room is awfully crowded and suspensions are taking a toll too. Yves Bissouma will return from the latter, but Cristian Romero remains banned while James Maddison and Micky Men with Ven are among those out with injuries.

With a full strength Spurs we might have had a game on our hands but it’s impossible to look past the champions with home advantage. City should be able to overcome a -1 handicap too.

Both Teams to Score

Another minor edge for Tottenham is that they have scored in every game this season and City haven’t. Going into the weekend, only Brighton and Liverpool have also found the net in all 13 matches.

Granted, the Cityzens’ only blank occurred at Arsenal, a very tough away trip. But they also have fewer clean sheets than four teams, maybe more by the time this game gets underway, and have only kept two in six home league matches this term.

With Tottenham having generated at least one expected goal in all but two games – they missed four Opta-defined big chances in defeat to Aston Villa last weekend – both teams should score.

Julian Alvarez To Score Anytime

This section could say ‘pick Erling Haaland’ and that would do, but we like to find you better value. It’s worth considering Julian Alvarez for your goal scorer bet instead.

He comes into the game on the back of four league starts without a goal, the longest such run of his City career. However, the Argentine had at least two shots in each of those matches and has generally done well at the Etihad, where he netted a Champions League winner in midweek.

He scored to kickstart the fight back against Tottenham last January, for one thing. Alvarez also bagged the opener in home wins over Brighton, Fulham and Newcastle – the latter being the only goal of the game – and scored twice against Crvena Zvezda.

It’s Alvarez to Score Anytime. Or just pick Haaland, nobody would blame you if you did.

Over 10.5 Corners

There are some City games which don’t feature many corners, simply because they keep the ball in play for long enough to create decent chances. Spurs’ away games this season have featured plenty, though, mainly as they conceded double figures to Arsenal, Crystal Palace and Wolves.

As the last two Premier League games to feature at least 15 corners involved City (at Old Trafford and against Liverpool), we should be fine to see Over 10.5 Corners on Sunday afternoon.

Over 3.5 Cards

In the last meeting of these teams, Cristian Romero was sent off. I know, can you imagine? He won’t be getting an early bath here but maybe someone will.

Games featuring City or Spurs have averaged over five cards each this season and there should be at least four here. Across his career, match referee Simon Hooper has been one of the more card-shy whistlers.

His rate has gone through the roof this term – he sent off Curtis Jones and Diogo Jota in his last Spurs match – so expect Over 3.5 Cards here.

Man City v Tottenham Betting Tips

Manchester City -1
Both Teams to Score
Julian Alvarez to Score Anytime
Over 10.5 Corners
Over 3.5 Cards

All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

More Football Tips

READ MORE

The latest football odds are on PaddyPower.com now

THE PADDY POWER GUIDE TO SAFER GAMBLING – EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW