It’s time for the 756th (or thereabouts) Merseyside derby on Saturday, and as it’s immediately following an international break, it’s inevitably a 12:30 kick-off. It’s obviously just a coincidence – obviously – but it seems that ever since Jurgen Klopp gave Des Kelly both barrels regarding early kick-offs, the Reds are handed one at every opportunity.
And if not in sparkling form – this is Everton, after all – Sean Dyche’s side have won two of their last three league games, something the Toffees previously managed in February. The game they failed to win in that little run was a loss at Liverpool but let’s brush over that for now.
Liverpool -1
As much as Blues’ fans would like that, they know their side has an abysmal record in Anfield derbies.
Liverpool have lost just one of the last 25 in the Premier League, with that occurring behind closed doors when their injury crisis was so severe Klopp had to start Ozan Kabak and Jordan Henderson at centre-back. It’s easy to forget how strange lockdown was.
But Everton shouldn’t feel too bad about their poor form at Anfield, as almost all visiting sides can say the same in the Klopp era. Liverpool have lost just one home league match with fans present since April 2017. The fact it was to a poor Leeds side last season should give the Blues some hope, but the Reds are looking a lot better than they did for much of 2022/23.
Liverpool have played five home matches this season and won them all by at least two goals. That has also been the outcome in the last three league derbies on their patch with supporters in the stands. With the Reds’ form at Anfield, they should overcome a one goal handicap.
Over 2.5 Goals
Four of the Reds’ five matches at Anfield this season have featured at least three goals. As the exception was the low-key-contractual-obligation Europa League win over Union SG, there should be more goalmouth action with a full-strength Liverpool side.
After all, since an opening weekend 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge, all other matches Klopp’s boys have played home or away have paid out on over 2.5 goals.
And while Dyche will want his side to keep things tight, all three away matches Everton have played this season have seen exactly four goals. This easily could too, but there should be at least three.
Assuming Klopp does not throw his South American forwards back into the starting XI following their tiring international commitments, Diogo Jota should return from suspension to lead the Liverpool line.
The Portuguese forward made his mark in his last four Liverpool matches by either scoring a goal or collecting a red card. Jota has also found the net in four of the Reds’ five matches at Anfield this term, one more than Mohamed Salah and clear of the rest of the squad too. Jota can put Everton to the sword with his first Anfield derby goal.
Mohamed Salah to Have 1 or More Shots on Target
A simple selection this one. The Egyptian should have a shot on target and he has in seven of his nine league games against Everton. That’ll do us!
Over 11.5 Corners
While there were only six corners in this fixture last season, one of Everton’s proved pivotal. James Tarkowski headed against the post, Liverpool immediately hit the Blues on the break and England number one Jordan Pickford went walkabout to leave Salah with an open goal.
Blunders from the Everton goalkeeper are more common than a lack of corners, with the three league derbies prior to the last one all seeing at least 14 (corners, not Pickford mistakes). Only Newcastle saw more matches with at least 12 corners than the Blues did in 2022/23 too.
As only two teams are ahead of Everton in that respect this season, over 11.5 corners look likely.
Over 4.5 Cards
The Merseyside derby is renowned for cards, with its 22 reds the most of any fixture in Premier League history. While those days look in the past – the last sending off occurred three years ago, the last at Anfield in 2016 – the card count has remained high.
The last eight league meetings have seen an average of 4.6 yellow cards and only fewer than four twice so there should be a few here.
A lot will depend on how referee Craig Pawson marshals proceedings. After the chaos in Liverpool’s loss at Tottenham two match weeks ago, the likes of Kateo Kovacic and Bruno Guimaraes got away with all sorts in the previous round of games. But as a card-friendly ref, Dawson should flash over 4.5 in a fiery derby.
Football Tips: Liverpool to dominate against Everton in our 25/1 Bet Builder
Our tipster Andrew Beasley reckons Merseyside will be Red after a dominant Liverpool win.
By Andrew Beasley / Football Tips / 1 month ago
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Liverpool v Everton Betting Tips:
Liverpool -1
Over 2.5 Goals
Diogo Jota to Score Anytime
Mohamed Salah to Have 1 or More Shots on Target
Over 11.5 Corners
Over 4.5 Cards
A Bet Builder with these selections pays at approximately 25/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
It’s time for the 756th (or thereabouts) Merseyside derby on Saturday, and as it’s immediately following an international break, it’s inevitably a 12:30 kick-off. It’s obviously just a coincidence – obviously – but it seems that ever since Jurgen Klopp gave Des Kelly both barrels regarding early kick-offs, the Reds are handed one at every opportunity.
And if not in sparkling form – this is Everton, after all – Sean Dyche’s side have won two of their last three league games, something the Toffees previously managed in February. The game they failed to win in that little run was a loss at Liverpool but let’s brush over that for now.
Liverpool -1
As much as Blues’ fans would like that, they know their side has an abysmal record in Anfield derbies.
Liverpool have lost just one of the last 25 in the Premier League, with that occurring behind closed doors when their injury crisis was so severe Klopp had to start Ozan Kabak and Jordan Henderson at centre-back. It’s easy to forget how strange lockdown was.
But Everton shouldn’t feel too bad about their poor form at Anfield, as almost all visiting sides can say the same in the Klopp era. Liverpool have lost just one home league match with fans present since April 2017. The fact it was to a poor Leeds side last season should give the Blues some hope, but the Reds are looking a lot better than they did for much of 2022/23.
Liverpool have played five home matches this season and won them all by at least two goals. That has also been the outcome in the last three league derbies on their patch with supporters in the stands. With the Reds’ form at Anfield, they should overcome a one goal handicap.
Over 2.5 Goals
Four of the Reds’ five matches at Anfield this season have featured at least three goals. As the exception was the low-key-contractual-obligation Europa League win over Union SG, there should be more goalmouth action with a full-strength Liverpool side.
After all, since an opening weekend 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge, all other matches Klopp’s boys have played home or away have paid out on over 2.5 goals.
And while Dyche will want his side to keep things tight, all three away matches Everton have played this season have seen exactly four goals. This easily could too, but there should be at least three.
Diogo Jota to Score Anytime
Assuming Klopp does not throw his South American forwards back into the starting XI following their tiring international commitments, Diogo Jota should return from suspension to lead the Liverpool line.
The Portuguese forward made his mark in his last four Liverpool matches by either scoring a goal or collecting a red card. Jota has also found the net in four of the Reds’ five matches at Anfield this term, one more than Mohamed Salah and clear of the rest of the squad too. Jota can put Everton to the sword with his first Anfield derby goal.
Mohamed Salah to Have 1 or More Shots on Target
A simple selection this one. The Egyptian should have a shot on target and he has in seven of his nine league games against Everton. That’ll do us!
Over 11.5 Corners
While there were only six corners in this fixture last season, one of Everton’s proved pivotal. James Tarkowski headed against the post, Liverpool immediately hit the Blues on the break and England number one Jordan Pickford went walkabout to leave Salah with an open goal.
Blunders from the Everton goalkeeper are more common than a lack of corners, with the three league derbies prior to the last one all seeing at least 14 (corners, not Pickford mistakes). Only Newcastle saw more matches with at least 12 corners than the Blues did in 2022/23 too.
As only two teams are ahead of Everton in that respect this season, over 11.5 corners look likely.
Over 4.5 Cards
The Merseyside derby is renowned for cards, with its 22 reds the most of any fixture in Premier League history. While those days look in the past – the last sending off occurred three years ago, the last at Anfield in 2016 – the card count has remained high.
The last eight league meetings have seen an average of 4.6 yellow cards and only fewer than four twice so there should be a few here.
A lot will depend on how referee Craig Pawson marshals proceedings. After the chaos in Liverpool’s loss at Tottenham two match weeks ago, the likes of Kateo Kovacic and Bruno Guimaraes got away with all sorts in the previous round of games. But as a card-friendly ref, Dawson should flash over 4.5 in a fiery derby.
Liverpool v Everton Betting Tips:
Liverpool -1
Over 2.5 Goals
Diogo Jota to Score Anytime
Mohamed Salah to Have 1 or More Shots on Target
Over 11.5 Corners
Over 4.5 Cards
A Bet Builder with these selections pays at approximately 25/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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