Aston Villa v Brighton Betting Tips
Brighton to Win
Kaoru Mitoma to Score or Assist
Evan Ferguson to have 2 or more Shots on Target
Aston Villa to have 5 or more Shots on Target
Pervis Estupinian to Commit 1 or more Fouls
A Bet Builder with these selections pays at approximately 28/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
Saturday, September 30: 12:30pm
TV: TNT Sports
Brighton to Win
Both Brighton and Aston Villa suffered disappointing League Cup defeats shortly after opening their respective European campaign with disappointing 3-2 losses. However, they have both crucially won their last two league games and find themselves in an excellent position in the Premier League table.
Brighton, in particular, have made an exceptional start to the season, winning five out of six games and each of their last three. Villa have made a quietly good start to the season, picking up 12 points from their opening six games, although they did suffer heavy defeats against both Newcastle and Liverpool.
The hosts won their last two league outings against Crystal Palace and Chelsea, but neither of those wins were particularly convincing, with Chelsea missing a host of gilt-edged opportunities and a dubious injury-time penalty needed to beat Palace.
The away side simply look more cohesive than Villa and can record a fourth straight league victory on Saturday afternoon.
Kaoru Mitoma to Score or Assist
Kaoru Mitoma changed the game against Bournemouth last weekend when he was introduced as a half-time substitute. The Japanese winger scored twice in a sublime second half performance to give Brighton a vital 3-1 win after a disappointing defeat to AEK Athens.
Mitoma has scored three and assisted three in six league appearances to date, proving to be one of Brighton’s most important players. The 26-year-old attempts 1.8 shots per game – the sixth-highest in the Brighton squad – and averages 2.3 key passes per game – the third-highest of any of Roberto de Zerbi’s player.
There is a good chance that he will contribute to at least one goal at Villa Park.
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Evan Ferguson to have 2 or more Shots on Target
Evan Ferguson looks set to build on his break-out season last year with another impressive campaign this time around. The Irish teenager has scored four goals in the league this season despite starting just three games and looks capable of causing problems against almost any defence.
He had a quiet afternoon in the 3-1 win over Bournemouth but caused Manchester United plenty of problems when he was sprung from the bench a week earlier.
Ferguson averages the second-highest number of shots per game in the Brighton squad despite starting as a substitute in three different games. He averages 2.5 shots per game and seems to have a knack for finding the target.
Aston Villa to have 5 or more Shots on Target
For all of their impressive results, Brighton have not kept a clean sheet in any of their opening six league games – or any game in any competition for that matter.
De Zerbi’s side have a habit of conceding consolation goals, including in wins over Luton, Wolves, Newcastle, and Manchester United, and have faced an average of over four shots on target per game in the Premier League.
Unai Emery’s Villa, meanwhile, have averaged almost six shots on target per game, even managing six efforts on goal in the 5-1 hammering against Newcastle on the opening day of the season. They clearly have the tools to hurt Brighton and it is unclear if they have the defensive tools to cope with them.
Pervis Estupinian to Commit 1 or more Fouls
Pervis Estupinian has made an exceptional start to the Premier League season but he has been one of Brighton’s worst offenders when it comes to committing fouls.
The Ecuadorian left-back averages 1.4 fouls per game – the third-highest of any Seagulls player and the highest of any player who has featured in five games or more.
Estupinian has also received two yellow cards so far – the joint-most of any Brighton player. In being likely to come up against the pace of Moussa Diaby, there is every chance he commits at least one foul here.
Aston Villa v Brighton Bet Builder Tips
Brighton to Win
Kaoru Mitoma to Score or Assist
Evan Ferguson to have 2 or more Shots on Target
Aston Villa to have 5 or more Shots on Target
Pervis Estupinian to Commit 1 or more Fouls
A Bet Builder with these selections pays at approximately 28/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD TO YOUR BETSLIP.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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