Football Tips: Expect goals in our trader’s 6/1 Brighton v Man United FA Cup Bet Builder

Paddy Power trader James Cumberton has been crunching the numbers for this FA Cup semi-final showdown.

Brighton v Man United FA Cup Bet Builder Betting Tips

Brighton v Manchester United Bet Builder Tips

Over 2.5 Goals
Solly March to Have 1 or More Shots on Target
Moises Caicedo to Commit 2 or More Fouls
Antony to Commit 1 or More Fouls

A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 6/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

FA Cup semi-final: Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester United
Sunday, April 23: 4.30pm
TV: BBC One, BBC iPlayer

An in-form Brighton take on Manchester United on Sunday afternoon in the standout tie of the FA Cup semi-finals. United are no strangers to Wembley having visited the hallowed turf on numerous occasions over the last 10 years and most recently in February where they beat Newcastle in the League Cup final.  

Brighton will look to take advantage of their injury-stricken opponents, who are without three centre-backs, althought at least Marcus Rashford should feature after coming off the bench midweek in their Europa League loss to Sevilla.

The Seagulls were semi-finalists in 2019 and lost out to an extremely good Manchester City side, and they will have a slightly easier task here against the red half of Manchester.

Over 2.5 goals

In the last 10 fixtures between the clubs in all competitions there has been a total of 35 goals with over 2.5 goals being a winning selection in nine of those 10. Brighton have scored 54 goals in the Premier League this season (the fifth most) and Manchester United have scored 46 (eighth most). Both teams have conceded 37 league goals this season which is by no means great. 

United come into this game with only one centre-back available as Harry Maguire is suspended and both Lisandro Martinez and Raphael Varane are injured. Erik ten Hag’s side will therefore have to do with a makeshift back four for the game and their best form of defence will be to attack so we are likely to see plenty of goals in the 90 minutes.

Solly March 1+ Shots on Target

One player that is not usually talked about unlike his colleagues Kaoru Mitoma and Evan Ferguson when it comes to Brighton is Solly March. The Englishman goes quietly about his business putting in excellent performances for Roberto De Zerbi. He has had the most shots on target for Brighton this season with 31 (ninth most in the Premier League). 

In his last 16 games he has had at least one SOT in 13 and at least two SOT in six. The right winger is averaging 2.3 shots per game as well. I can see him having a few shots here and at least one of them hitting the target.

Moises Caicedo to Commit 2 or More Fouls

Moises Caicedo concedes an average of 1.9 fouls per game in the league this season. He should be making tactical fouls to negate Manchester United’s counter-attack threat here. United are likely to cede possession to De Zerbi’s men at Wembley and play on the break.

Brighton dominate the passing statistics in most games this season and currently have the fifth-best passing record in the league with Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal only slightly ahead of them. 

Martinez, who is injured, is one of the most important players for ten Hag when it comes to building attacks from the back and with him sidelined it is likely that United will be forced to play on the counter. This should see Moises Caicedo making a couple of tactical fouls to stop them advancing up the field.

Antony to Commit 1 or More Fouls

Antony has been booked four times in 17 Premier League games so far this season and he is a fiery character of late. He often tracks back and helps the defence which sees him commit the occasional foul. He is averaging 0.7 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League and in his last five starts has committed on average of one foul per game. 

The in-form Mitoma will be playing on his side of the field and he is likely to cause problems down their right-hand side. Antony should commit a few fouls in his attempts to keep Brighton at bay.

Brighton v Manchester United Betting Tips

Over 2.5 Goals
Solly March to have 1 or More Shots on Target
Moises Caicedo to Commit 2 or More Fouls
Antony to Commit 1 or More Fouls

A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 6/1 with Paddy Power. CLICK HERE TO ADD IT TO YOUR BETSLIP.

*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.

READ MORE

    The latest football odds are on PaddyPower.com now

    THE PADDY POWER GUIDE TO SAFER GAMBLING – EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW